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AI Match Summary
Independente SP host Sao Carlos in the Paulista A4 2021. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Sao Carlos have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Independente SP have conceded 0.88 and scored 4.25. Past meetings favor Independente SP slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.75 xG vs 1.38) point toward Independente SP. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Independente SP has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sao Carlos.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Independente SP.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Paulista A4 2021 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independente SP | Sao Carlos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 34 |
| Wins | 19 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 4.25 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independente SP scored in 68% of their last 37 games.
Sao Carlos let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Independente SP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Sao Carlos lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Taquaritinga | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 3 | Catanduva FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Inter de Bebedouro | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Fernandopolis | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13:20 | 7 |
| 6 | America SP | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:23 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XV de Jau | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 23 |
| 2 | Gremio Prudente | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:10 | 17 |
| 3 | Vocem | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Assisense | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Santacruzense | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 6 | Osvaldo Cruz | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:17 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Independente SP | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:9 | 18 |
| 3 | Sao-Carlense | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 5 | Itapirense | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:12 | 6 |
| 6 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3:11 | 6 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 18:5 | 26 |
| 2 | Paulista | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Colorado Caieiras | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 4 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | 11 |
| 5 | Guarulhos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | 6 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Suzano | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24:3 | 26 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:9 | 21 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:10 | 13 |
| 4 | ECUS SP | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:22 | 13 |
| 5 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | 12 |
| 6 | Atletico Mogi | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6:37 | 0 |