Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A4 2023 game between Independente SP and SKA Brasil finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SKA Brasil.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Independente SP come out ahead of SKA Brasil on wins alone.
- Model gives Independente SP a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors SKA Brasil here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Independente SP Clean Sheet 20%
SKA Brasil Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independente SP | SKA Brasil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.15 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 0.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2024 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Independente SP
1:0
Aug 16, 2023 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs SKA Brasil
1:2
Aug 3, 2023 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Independente SP
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Independente SP
4:0
Jul 2, 2023 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs SKA Brasil
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independente SP 42 / 100
SKA Brasil 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independente SP SKA Brasil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Independente SP scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Independente SP went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
SKA Brasil has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Independente SP VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Independente SP
(Home) 16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1 America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0 Independente SP
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0 Flamengo SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0 Independente SP
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1 Paulinense
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16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1 America SP
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0 Flamengo SP
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1 Paulinense
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0 Catanduvense
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SKA Brasil
(Away) 28 Apr
Francana
0 : 0 SKA Brasil
20 Apr
SKA Brasil
0 : 0 Francana
13 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 1 SKA Brasil
06 Apr
SKA Brasil
1 : 0 Sao-Carlense
30 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 2 SKA Brasil
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28 Apr
Francana
0 : 0 SKA Brasil
13 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 1 SKA Brasil
30 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 2 SKA Brasil
20 Mar
Sao-Carlense
0 : 0 SKA Brasil
09 Mar
America SP
0 : 2 SKA Brasil
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Sao Joao | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Nacional SP | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 3 | XV de Jau | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Jacarei FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Catanduva FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Rio Branco SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 3 | Penapolense | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Jabaquara | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Barbarense | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3:1 | 10 |
| 2 | America SP | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 3 | Sao-Carlense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Vocem | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francana | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Taquaritinga | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 3 | SKA Brasil | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Independente SP | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)
