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Stadium Background

Independente vs Itupiranga Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Independente
35%
Draws
28%
Itupiranga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Independente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Independente have won more games recently than Itupiranga.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Independente have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Itupiranga, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Independente Clean Sheet 20%
Itupiranga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente Itupiranga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 12 12
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Paraense A2
Independente vs Itupiranga
0:0
Jun 4, 2026 Paraense A2
Itupiranga vs Independente
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Paraense A2
Independente vs Itupiranga
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Paraense A2
Itupiranga vs Independente
0:1
Mar 4, 2023 Paraense
Independente vs Itupiranga
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente 31 / 100
Itupiranga 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente Itupiranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Itupiranga conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Independente scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Independente stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Independente VS Itupiranga
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Independente

(Home)
07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0
Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0
Independente
30 May
Independente
3 : 0
Uniao Paraense
13 May
Izabelense
1 : 2
Independente
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
Independente
Page 1 of 6

Itupiranga

(Away)
21 Jun
Izabelense
0 : 0
Itupiranga
14 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 2
Izabelense
07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0
Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0
Independente
30 May
Carajas
0 : 0
Itupiranga
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Urumajo 4
Santos PA 0
Caete 0
Paragominas 4
Independente 0
Itupiranga 1
Carajas 1
Izabelense 3
Semi-finals
Urumajo 3
Paragominas 2
Itupiranga 1
Izabelense 2
Final
Urumajo 2
Izabelense 1