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Independiente 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Independiente 2 Logo

Independiente 2

1 - 0
FT
Newells Old Boys 2 Logo

Newells Old Boys 2

Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Junco N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independiente 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Independiente 2
30%
Draws
31%
Newells Old Boys 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independiente 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Independiente 2 lately — more wins on the board than Newells Old Boys 2.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Independiente 2 Clean Sheet 22%
Newells Old Boys 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente 2 Newells Old Boys 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Reserve League
Independiente 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2
1:0
Nov 27, 2024 Reserve League
Newells Old Boys 2 vs Independiente 2
4:0
Oct 16, 2024 Reserve League
Independiente 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2
1:1
May 14, 2024 Reserve League
Newells Old Boys 2 vs Independiente 2
0:3
Jul 10, 2023 Reserve League
Newells Old Boys 2 vs Independiente 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Junco N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Newells Old Boys 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 2 32 / 100
Newells Old Boys 2 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente 2 Newells Old Boys 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newells Old Boys 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente 2 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Independiente 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Newells Old Boys 2 conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente 2 VS Newells Old Boys 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente 2

(Home)
07 Oct
Ferro 2
0 : 0
Independiente 2
01 Oct
Independiente 2
2 : 1
Boca Juniors 2
24 Sept
Racing Club 2
1 : 2
Independiente 2
15 Sept
Independiente 2
1 : 0
Colon Santa Fe 2
08 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Independiente 2
Page 1 of 6

Newells Old Boys 2

(Away)
06 Oct
Newells Old Boys 2
1 : 1
Estudiantes L.P. 2
30 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys 2
24 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
3 : 0
Rosario Central 2
17 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
4 : 0
San Martin S.J. 2
10 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia 2
1 : 0
Newells Old Boys 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)