Sport Picks
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina
Torneo Federal 2025 Raul Orlando Lungarzo 
AI Match Summary
Independiente Chivilcoy play Sportivo Belgrano in the Torneo Federal 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Independiente Chivilcoy averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Sportivo Belgrano averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. In past meetings, Independiente Chivilcoy won 0, Sportivo Belgrano won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.38 for Independiente Chivilcoy and 1.25 for Sportivo Belgrano. This points to a Sportivo Belgrano double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Independiente Chivilcoy picked up more points recently compared to Sportivo Belgrano.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.38 vs 1.25 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente Chivilcoy | Sportivo Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente Chivilcoy Compare
Sportivo Belgrano Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente Chivilcoy scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Sportivo Belgrano let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Independiente Chivilcoy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Sportivo Belgrano lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Bolivar | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 15 |
| 4 | Deportivo Rincon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 5 | Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 3:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Costa Brava | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 7 | Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3:5 | 9 |
| 8 | Cipolletti | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 9 | Kimberley | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportivo Belgrano | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 2 | Atl. Rafaela | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 14 |
| 4 | San Martin Formosa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 14 |
| 5 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | 13 |
| 6 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | 6 |
| 9 | Douglas Haig | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:11 | 1 |