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Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Raul Orlando Lungarzo, Chivilcoy
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Retamozo L.
33'
D'Annunzio N.
46'
Sub
Pollacchi M. In: Urquia L.
Out: Pollacchi M.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Independiente Chivilcoy and Sportivo Las Parejas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Independiente Chivilcoy
20%
Draws
40%
Sportivo Las Parejas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Independiente Chivilcoy come out ahead of Sportivo Las Parejas on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Independiente Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 29%
Sportivo Las Parejas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Chivilcoy Sportivo Las Parejas
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 12
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.93 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente Chivilcoy
0:0
Jul 26, 2026 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas
1:1
May 17, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente Chivilcoy
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas
1:0
May 4, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente Chivilcoy
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Chivilcoy Compare

Top Goalscorer Retamozo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Sportivo Las Parejas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente Chivilcoy 38 / 100
Sportivo Las Parejas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Chivilcoy Sportivo Las Parejas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Las Parejas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente Chivilcoy scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Independiente Chivilcoy stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sportivo Las Parejas has conceded goals in 48% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Independiente Chivilcoy VS Sportivo Las Parejas
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente Chivilcoy

(Home)
19 Sept
Independiente Chivilcoy
3 : 0
Atletico Escobar
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0
Independiente Chivilcoy
06 Sept
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 0
El Linqueno
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0
Independiente Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Independiente Chivilcoy
2 : 0
Tucuman Central
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Las Parejas

(Away)
19 Sept
Sportivo Las Parejas
1 : 0
Gimnasia E.R.
13 Sept
Tucuman Central
0 : 4
Sportivo Las Parejas
30 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
3 : 0
Sarmiento Resistencia
23 Aug
Boca Unidos
1 : 0
Sportivo Las Parejas
16 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0
Independiente Chivilcoy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)