Sport Picks
Independiente del Valle vs Delfin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Copa Ecuador Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Delfin have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Independiente del Valle have conceded 0.93 and scored 2.31. Past meetings favor Independiente del Valle slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 29, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.44 - 1.38) back Independiente del Valle to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Independiente del Valle come out ahead of Delfin on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Independiente del Valle's way, sitting at 90%.
- Independiente del Valle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Independiente del Valle, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | Delfin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 22 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.31 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente del Valle's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Delfin has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Independiente del Valle stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
