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Independiente del Valle vs Delfin

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Independiente del Valle host Delfin in the Liga Pro. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Independiente del Valle have averaged 2.24 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Delfin's 0.69 scored and 0.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Independiente del Valle slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 0.63, favoring Independiente del Valle. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Independiente del Valle
15%
Draws
24%
Delfin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente del Valle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Independiente del Valle have won more games recently than Delfin.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Independiente del Valle taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 20%
Delfin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente del Valle Delfin
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 26 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.24 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Independiente del Valle
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Delfin
0:0
May 31, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Independiente del Valle
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Delfin
1:2
Mar 2, 2024 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Independiente del Valle
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente del Valle 67 / 100
Delfin 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente del Valle Delfin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente del Valle scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Recent resilience: Independiente del Valle stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Delfin let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Delfin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente del Valle VS Delfin
3.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente del Valle

(Home)
02 Aug
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
30 Jul
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0
Manta
26 Jul
Orense
2 : 3
Independiente del Valle
22 Jul
Independiente del Valle
3 : 0
Tecnico U.
20 Jul
Independiente del Valle
6 : 1
Emelec
Page 1 of 7

Delfin

(Away)
04 Aug
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Delfin
26 Jul
Delfin
0 : 1
Leones del Norte
21 Jul
Libertad
1 : 0
Delfin
18 Jul
Delfin
2 : 1
Macara
15 Jul
Manta
0 : 1
Delfin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 23 19 1 3 56:22 58
2 U. Catolica 23 11 6 6 38:19 39
3 Macara 23 11 5 7 30:23 38
4 Aucas 23 11 5 7 26:25 38
5 Barcelona SC 23 9 8 6 24:18 35
6 LDU Quito 23 10 5 8 23:18 35
7 Leones del Norte 23 8 8 7 24:22 32
8 Dep. Cuenca 23 9 4 10 21:28 31
9 Libertad 23 8 6 9 24:26 30
10 Mushuc Runa 23 7 7 9 29:34 28
11 Guayaquil City 23 7 7 9 20:25 28
12 Emelec 23 7 7 9 19:28 28
13 Orense 23 7 5 11 27:35 26
14 Tecnico U. 23 8 2 13 20:29 26
15 Delfin 23 6 5 12 14:23 23
16 Manta 23 3 5 15 9:29 14
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)