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Independiente del Valle vs LDU Quito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Independiente del Valle host LDU Quito in the Liga Pro. Little to choose between these two on current form. LDU Quito have shipped 0.79 goals a game lately, while Independiente del Valle have conceded 0.93 and scored 2.5. Head-to-head, Independiente del Valle have won 1 to LDU Quito's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.31, favoring Independiente del Valle. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Independiente del Valle
30%
Draws
31%
LDU Quito
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independiente del Valle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Independiente del Valle come out ahead of LDU Quito on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Independiente del Valle's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 18%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente del Valle LDU Quito
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 23 14
Draws 2 9
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 2.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Independiente del Valle
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs LDU Quito
0:2
Dec 10, 2025 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs LDU Quito
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Independiente del Valle
2:1
Jun 22, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Independiente del Valle
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente del Valle 49 / 100
LDU Quito 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente del Valle LDU Quito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente del Valle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente del Valle scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

LDU Quito has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Independiente del Valle went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente del Valle VS LDU Quito
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente del Valle

(Home)
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle
2 : 1
Aucas
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3
Independiente del Valle
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
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LDU Quito

(Away)
11 Oct
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Barcelona SC
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 31 25 2 4 75:34 77
2 Macara 32 17 6 9 44:34 57
3 LDU Quito 32 15 7 10 35:26 52
4 U. Catolica 32 14 9 9 52:30 51
5 Aucas 32 14 8 10 35:32 50
6 Barcelona SC 31 11 11 9 33:27 44
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)