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Independiente del Valle vs Manta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Independiente del Valle Logo

Independiente del Valle

1 - 0
FT
Manta Logo

Manta

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Loor L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Independiente del Valle
20%
Draws
33%
Manta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independiente del Valle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Independiente del Valle have won more games recently than Manta.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Independiente del Valle taking it.
  • Independiente del Valle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Independiente del Valle, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Independiente del Valle have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 68%
Manta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente del Valle Manta
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 24 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 2.32 0.62
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Copa Ecuador
Independiente del Valle vs Manta
1:0
Jul 4, 2026 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Manta
4:0
Mar 3, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Independiente del Valle
0:2
Aug 10, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Independiente del Valle
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Manta
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente del Valle Compare

Top Goalscorer Loor L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Manta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente del Valle 50 / 100
Manta 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente del Valle Manta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente del Valle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente del Valle's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Manta let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Independiente del Valle stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente del Valle VS Manta
2 Goals Scored 1.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 43%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente del Valle

(Home)
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3
Independiente del Valle
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1
Macara
Page 1 of 7

Manta

(Away)
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
LDU Quito -
TBD -
Africando 1
Independiente Juniors 2
Leones del Norte -
TBD -
Huaquillas FC 1
Rio Aguarico 0
Aucas -
TBD -
Guaranda 0
San Antonio 1
Dep. Cuenca -
TBD -
La Union 1
Cumbaya 0
Emelec -
TBD -
U.D. Juvenil 0
Daquilema 2
Guayaquil City -
TBD -
Astillero 2
22 de Julio 1
U. Catolica -
TBD -
Dunamis 1
EL Nacional 5
Orense -
TBD -
Domingo TSA 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle -
TBD -
Primero de Mayo 0
Dep. Santo Domingo 2
Manta -
TBD -
Nazareno 0
Nueve de Octubre 4
Mushuc Runa -
TBD -
Dep. Quito 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara -
TBD -
Quito 2
CD Cuenca Juniors 3
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
Insutec 4
Club Deportivo Ibarra 3
Libertad -
TBD -
Ind. Azogues 0
LDU Portoviejo 5
Delfin -
TBD -
Banos 2
Anaconda 1
Tecnico U. -
TBD -
Juventud Italiana 2
Atletico FC 1
1/16-finals
LDU Quito 2
Independiente Juniors 1
Leones del Norte 1
Huaquillas FC 0
Aucas 3
San Antonio 0
Dep. Cuenca 0
La Union 1
Emelec 0
Daquilema 1
Guayaquil City 1
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 4
EL Nacional 1
Orense 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 2
Dep. Santo Domingo 0
Manta 1
Nueve de Octubre 0
Mushuc Runa 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara 1
CD Cuenca Juniors 0
Barcelona SC 4
Insutec 2
Libertad 1
LDU Portoviejo 2
Delfin 2
Banos 0
Tecnico U. 0
Juventud Italiana 2
1/8-finals
LDU Quito 6
Leones del Norte 0
Aucas 2
La Union 1
Daquilema 0
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 3
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 1
Manta 0
Gualaceo 2
Macara 1
Barcelona SC 0
LDU Portoviejo 3
Delfin 1
Juventud Italiana 0
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito 1
Aucas 0
Astillero 0
U. Catolica 1
Independiente del Valle 2
Gualaceo 0
LDU Portoviejo 0
Delfin 2
Semi-finals
LDU Quito -
U. Catolica -
Independiente del Valle -
Delfin -
Final
TBD -
TBD -