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Independiente del Valle vs Manta

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Independiente del Valle Logo

Independiente del Valle

1 - 0
FT
Manta Logo

Manta

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Loor L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Independiente del Valle
15%
Draws
14%
Manta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente del Valle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Independiente del Valle have won more games recently than Manta.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Independiente del Valle taking it.
  • Independiente del Valle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Independiente del Valle, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Independiente del Valle have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 68%
Manta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente del Valle Manta
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 27 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 3 18
Goals Scored 2.5 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Copa Ecuador
Independiente del Valle vs Manta
1:0
Jul 4, 2026 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Manta
4:0
Mar 3, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Independiente del Valle
0:2
Aug 10, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Independiente del Valle
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Manta
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente del Valle Compare

Top Goalscorer Loor L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Manta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente del Valle 95 / 100
Manta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente del Valle Manta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente del Valle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente del Valle's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Manta let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Independiente del Valle has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Independiente del Valle VS Manta
2.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente del Valle

(Home)
15 Aug
Independiente del Valle
3 : 2
Delfin
08 Aug
LDU Quito
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
02 Aug
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
30 Jul
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0
Manta
26 Jul
Orense
2 : 3
Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 7

Manta

(Away)
15 Aug
Manta
0 : 2
Leones del Norte
11 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 2
Manta
01 Aug
Manta
1 : 2
Mushuc Runa
30 Jul
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0
Manta
26 Jul
Tecnico U.
1 : 0
Manta
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
LDU Quito -
TBD -
Africando 1
Independiente Juniors 2
Leones del Norte -
TBD -
Huaquillas FC 1
Rio Aguarico 0
Aucas -
TBD -
Guaranda 0
San Antonio 1
Dep. Cuenca -
TBD -
La Union 1
Cumbaya 0
Emelec -
TBD -
U.D. Juvenil 0
Daquilema 2
Guayaquil City -
TBD -
Astillero 2
22 de Julio 1
U. Catolica -
TBD -
Dunamis 1
EL Nacional 5
Orense -
TBD -
Domingo TSA 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle -
TBD -
Primero de Mayo 0
Dep. Santo Domingo 2
Manta -
TBD -
Nazareno 0
Nueve de Octubre 4
Mushuc Runa -
TBD -
Dep. Quito 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara -
TBD -
Quito 2
CD Cuenca Juniors 3
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
Insutec 4
Club Deportivo Ibarra 3
Libertad -
TBD -
Ind. Azogues 0
LDU Portoviejo 5
Delfin -
TBD -
Banos 2
Anaconda 1
Tecnico U. -
TBD -
Juventud Italiana 2
Atletico FC 1
1/16-finals
LDU Quito 2
Independiente Juniors 1
Leones del Norte 1
Huaquillas FC 0
Aucas 3
San Antonio 0
Dep. Cuenca 0
La Union 1
Emelec 0
Daquilema 1
Guayaquil City 1
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 4
EL Nacional 1
Orense 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 2
Dep. Santo Domingo 0
Manta 1
Nueve de Octubre 0
Mushuc Runa 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara 1
CD Cuenca Juniors 0
Barcelona SC 4
Insutec 2
Libertad 1
LDU Portoviejo 2
Delfin 2
Banos 0
Tecnico U. 0
Juventud Italiana 2
1/8-finals
LDU Quito 6
Leones del Norte 0
Aucas 2
La Union 1
Daquilema 0
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 3
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 1
Manta 0
Gualaceo 2
Macara 1
Barcelona SC 1
LDU Portoviejo 0
Delfin -
Juventud Italiana -
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito -
Aucas -
Astillero -
U. Catolica -
Independiente del Valle -
Gualaceo -
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -