Sport Picks

Independiente del Valle vs Rosario Central Prediction & H2H Stats

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito

Independiente del Valle

1 - 0

Rosario Central

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Copetti E.

45'

Sornoza J.

45'

Di Maria A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Independiente del Valle

20%

Draws

40%

Rosario Central

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Rosario Central haven't matched Independiente del Valle's recent run of results.
36% — that's where the model lands on Independiente del Valle taking it.
Independiente del Valle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Independiente del Valle, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 17%

Rosario Central Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Independiente del Valle	Rosario Central
Matches Played	33	28
Wins	26	15
Draws	3	6
Losses	4	7
Goals Scored	2.36	1.29
Goals Conceded	0.97	0.86
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Independiente del Valle vs Rosario Central

1:0

Apr 9, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Rosario Central vs Independiente del Valle

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente del Valle 36 / 100

Rosario Central 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Independiente del Valle Rosario Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente del Valle scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

Rosario Central's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Independiente del Valle remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Independiente del Valle VS Rosario Central

2 Goals Scored 1.13

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75

100% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 38%

63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente del Valle

(Home)

25 Sept

Gualaceo

0 : 2

Independiente del Valle

18 Sept

Flamengo RJ

1 : 1

Independiente del Valle

13 Sept

Libertad

2 : 3

Independiente del Valle

11 Sept

Independiente del Valle

0 : 2

Flamengo RJ

05 Sept

Independiente del Valle

3 : 1

Macara

Page 1 of 7

Rosario Central

(Away)

26 Sept

Estudiantes L.P.

1 : 3

Rosario Central

20 Sept

Rosario Central

1 : 0

Argentinos Jrs

13 Sept

Tigre

0 : 1

Rosario Central

06 Sept

Rosario Central

1 : 1

Newells Old Boys

29 Aug

Rosario Central

1 : 2

Gimnasia L.P.

Page 1 of 6