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Stadium Background

Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico U.

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Independiente del Valle host Tecnico U. in the Liga Pro. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Independiente del Valle at 2.88 goals for, 0.75 against; Tecnico U. at 0.75 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Independiente del Valle have won 4 to Tecnico U.'s 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 0.75, favoring Independiente del Valle. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Independiente del Valle
6%
Draws
4%
Tecnico U.
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independiente del Valle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tecnico U. haven't matched Independiente del Valle's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Independiente del Valle taking it.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Independiente del Valle have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 20%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente del Valle Tecnico U.
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 23 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Independiente del Valle
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico U.
4:0
May 11, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Independiente del Valle
1:2
Aug 25, 2024 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico U.
1:0
Mar 21, 2024 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Independiente del Valle
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente del Valle 85 / 100
Tecnico U. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente del Valle Tecnico U.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente del Valle scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Tecnico U. let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Independiente del Valle stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Independiente del Valle VS Tecnico U.
2.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente del Valle

(Home)
16 Jul
Aucas
0 : 3
Independiente del Valle
11 Jul
Mushuc Runa
1 : 4
Independiente del Valle
08 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
04 Jul
Independiente del Valle
4 : 0
Manta
31 May
Guayaquil City
2 : 4
Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 7

Tecnico U.

(Away)
15 Jul
Libertad
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
11 Jul
Tecnico U.
0 : 2
Macara
07 Jul
Orense
1 : 2
Tecnico U.
02 Jun
Tecnico U.
1 : 0
Barcelona SC
29 May
Juventud Italiana
2 : 0
Tecnico U.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle19151343:1946
2Aucas1995521:1932
3Barcelona SC1987421:1431
4U. Catolica1985629:1829
5Macara1985620:1929
6LDU Quito1984719:1528
7Dep. Cuenca1984719:2128
8Emelec1976616:1727
9Leones del Norte1966720:2024
10Tecnico U.19721019:2023
11Orense1965822:2623
12Guayaquil City1965817:2223
13Mushuc Runa1956824:2921
14Libertad1956818:2521
15Delfin1955911:1820
16Manta1934127:2413
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)