Sport Picks
Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico U. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito 
Match Events
23'
23'
Mena S.
27'
27'
Razzeto S.
41'
41'
Sornoza J.
Assist: Rodriguez A.
AI Match Summary
Independiente del Valle in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente del Valle.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independiente del Valle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tecnico U. haven't matched Independiente del Valle's recent run of results.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Independiente del Valle taking it.
- Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Independiente del Valle have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 68%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | Tecnico U. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 24 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.48 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico U.
3:0
Mar 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Independiente del Valle
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico U.
4:0
May 11, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Independiente del Valle
1:2
Aug 25, 2024 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico U.
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente del Valle Compare
Top Goalscorer Sornoza J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Romero Padilla D. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Tecnico U. Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente del Valle 95 / 100
Tecnico U. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente del Valle Tecnico U.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente del Valle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente del Valle scored in 97% of their last 29 games.
Tecnico U. let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Independiente del Valle remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Independiente del Valle VS Tecnico U.
2 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente del Valle
(Home) 10 Oct
Independiente del Valle
2 : 1 Aucas
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2 Independiente del Valle
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1 Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2 Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle
2 : 1 Aucas
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2 Flamengo RJ
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Macara
29 Aug
Independiente del Valle
2 : 2 U. Catolica
26 Aug
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 3
Tecnico U.
(Away) 10 Oct
Manta
1 : 0 Tecnico U.
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1 Delfin
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1 Tecnico U.
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3 LDU Quito
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0 Tecnico U.
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Manta
1 : 0 Tecnico U.
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1 Tecnico U.
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0 Tecnico U.
16 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1 Tecnico U.
01 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 0 Tecnico U.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
