Sport Picks
Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Central
South America
Copa Libertadores Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito 
Match Events
21'
21'
Bolivar J.
Assist: Cuesta J.
37'
37'
Cuesta J.
44'
44'
Alcivar J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Independiente del Valle lately — more wins on the board than Universidad Central.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Independiente del Valle taking it.
- Independiente del Valle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Independiente del Valle, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 17%
Universidad Central Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | Universidad Central |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 26 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.36 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Universidad Central vs Independiente del Valle
2:0
Apr 16, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Central
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente del Valle Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Alcivar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Universidad Central Compare
Top Goalscorer Bolivar J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente del Valle 41 / 100
Universidad Central 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente del Valle Universidad Central
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente del Valle's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Universidad Central's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Independiente del Valle remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Independiente del Valle VS Universidad Central
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente del Valle
(Home) 25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2 Independiente del Valle
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1 Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2 Flamengo RJ
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Macara
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2 Flamengo RJ
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Macara
29 Aug
Independiente del Valle
2 : 2 U. Catolica
26 Aug
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Deportes Tolima
15 Aug
Independiente del Valle
3 : 2 Delfin
Page 1 of 3
Universidad Central
(Away) 19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1 Carabobo
15 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 0 Academia Anzoategui
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2 Universidad Central
07 Sept
Universidad Central
0 : 0 Academia Puerto Cabello
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1 Universidad Central
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2 Universidad Central
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1 Universidad Central
22 Aug
Zamora
2 : 0 Universidad Central
09 Aug
Metropolitanos
2 : 1 Universidad Central
01 Aug
Trujillanos
2 : 0 Universidad Central
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 4 | Cusco | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:12 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coquimbo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 4 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | U. Catolica | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corinthians | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Platense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Penarol | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Junior | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Mirassol | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Lanus | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:1 | 13 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
