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Independiente del Valle W vs Palmeiras W

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women 2022 Estadio Banco Guayaquil
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AI Match Summary

Independiente del Valle W play Palmeiras W in the Copa Libertadores Women 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Independiente del Valle W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Palmeiras W averaged 2.21 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Independiente del Valle W won 0, Palmeiras W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 17, 2022 ended 0:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Independiente del Valle W and 1.55 for Palmeiras W. This points to a Palmeiras W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Independiente del Valle W
22%
Draws
49%
Palmeiras W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Palmeiras W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Independiente del Valle W picked up more points recently compared to Palmeiras W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.55 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Independiente del Valle W Clean Sheet 15%
Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente del Valle W Palmeiras W
Matches Played 13 29
Wins 5 17
Draws 2 7
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.23 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2022 Copa Libertadores Women
Independiente del Valle W vs Palmeiras W
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente del Valle W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Palmeiras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Andressinha
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bruna Calderan
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente del Valle W 29 / 100
Palmeiras W 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente del Valle W Palmeiras W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Palmeiras W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Independiente del Valle W attacking → ← attacking Palmeiras W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente del Valle W scored in 69% of their last 13 games.

Palmeiras W let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Independiente del Valle W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Palmeiras W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 58
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Cali W330014:39
2Corinthians W320110:26
3Olimpia Asuncion W31023:63
4Always Ready W30031:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Boca Juniors W32108:47
2Ferroviaria W32104:27
3Nanas W31026:83
4Defensor Sp. W30033:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras W330012:19
2U. De Chile W320110:56
3Independiente del Valle W31022:103
4Libertad Limpeno W30032:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America de Cali W330011:19
2S. Morning W32018:16
3A. Lima W30122:41
4Lara W30121:161