Sport Picks
Independiente del Valle W vs Penarol W Prediction & H2H Stats
South America
Copa Libertadores Women 2024 
Match Events
52'
52'
Litardo K.
54'
54'
Bolanos N.
AI Match Summary
Independiente del Valle W in this Copa Libertadores Women 2024 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente del Valle W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Independiente del Valle W lately — more wins on the board than Penarol W.
- Model gives Independiente del Valle W a 85% chance of winning this.
- Independiente del Valle W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Independiente del Valle W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Independiente del Valle W Clean Sheet 68%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente del Valle W | Penarol W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 13 | 16 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2024 Copa Libertadores Women
Independiente del Valle W vs Penarol W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente del Valle W Compare
Top Goalscorer Litardo K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bolanos N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Penarol W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente del Valle W 95 / 100
Penarol W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente del Valle W Penarol W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente del Valle W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Penarol W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 16 matches.
Difficult form: Penarol W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Independiente del Valle W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (13 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Independiente del Valle W VS Penarol W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente del Valle W
(Home) 11 Oct
Ferroviaria W
3 : 0 Independiente del Valle W
08 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
5 : 0 Always Ready W
05 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
1 : 0 Indep. Santa Fe W
02 Oct
Corinthians W
1 : 1 Independiente del Valle W
19 Oct
Boca Juniors W
2 : 0 Independiente del Valle W
Page 1 of 3
08 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
5 : 0 Always Ready W
05 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
1 : 0 Indep. Santa Fe W
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
2 : 0 Penarol W
07 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
0 : 1 Indep. Santa Fe W
17 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
0 : 7 Palmeiras W
Penarol W
(Away) 12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2 Paraguay W
09 Jul
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1 Penarol W
19 Oct
Penarol W
1 : 2 Gimnasia L.P. W
16 Oct
Gremio W
2 : 0 Penarol W
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
2 : 0 Penarol W
Page 1 of 4
09 Jul
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1 Penarol W
16 Oct
Gremio W
2 : 0 Penarol W
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
2 : 0 Penarol W
07 Oct
Ferroviaria W
2 : 2 Penarol W
12 Mar
Libertad Limpeno W
0 : 0 Penarol W
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corinthians W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Libertad Limpeno W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 4 | ADIFFEM W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santos W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Olimpia Asuncion W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Colo Colo W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Always Ready W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 2 | Independiente del Valle W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria W | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Penarol W | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Cali W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | A. Lima W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 3 | S. Morning W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Guarani W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2024 (Play Offs)
