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Independiente del Valle W vs Universitario de Deportes W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Libertadores Women. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Independiente del Valle W at 1.21 goals for, 1.5 against; Universitario de Deportes W at 4.26 for, 0.93 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.48 vs 1.92, favoring Universitario de Deportes W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Independiente del Valle W
20%
Draws
48%
Universitario de Deportes W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Universitario de Deportes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Universitario de Deportes W have won more games recently than Independiente del Valle W.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Universitario de Deportes W taking it.
  • Universitario de Deportes W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Independiente del Valle W Clean Sheet 10%
Universitario de Deportes W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente del Valle W Universitario de Deportes W
Matches Played 14 27
Wins 5 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.21 4.26
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.48 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente del Valle W 10 / 100
Universitario de Deportes W 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente del Valle W Universitario de Deportes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Universitario de Deportes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente del Valle W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Independiente del Valle W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Universitario de Deportes W conceded in 48% of 27 recent games.

Difficult form: Universitario de Deportes W registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente del Valle W VS Universitario de Deportes W
0.33 Goals Scored 3.5
0.33 Goals Conceded 0.63
33% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente del Valle W

(Home)
15 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
1 : 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
11 Oct
Ferroviaria W
3 : 0
Independiente del Valle W
08 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
5 : 0
Always Ready W
05 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
1 : 0
Indep. Santa Fe W
02 Oct
Corinthians W
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle W
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Universitario de Deportes W

(Away)
26 Sept
UNSAAC W
2 : 5
Universitario de Deportes W
19 Sept
Universitario de Deportes W
4 : 0
Killas W
13 Sept
Universitario de Deportes W
5 : 0
Flamengo FBC W
05 Sept
Yanapuma W
3 : 9
Universitario de Deportes W
30 Aug
Universitario de Deportes W
2 : 3
A. Lima W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Caracas W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Colo Colo W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras W 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Independiente del Valle W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 CA Belgrano de Cordoba W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Universitario de Deportes W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olimpia Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 LDU Quito W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bolivar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional W W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 U. De Chile W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dep. Cali W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Libertad Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)