Sport Picks
Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Capiata
Paraguay
Division Intermedia 
Match Events
77'
77'
Montiel A.
85'
85'
Benitez J.
AI Match Summary
The Division Intermedia game between Independiente FBC and Deportivo Capiata finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
20%
11%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independiente FBC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Independiente FBC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Independiente FBC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Capiata Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente FBC | Deportivo Capiata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 13 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 28, 2026 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Capiata
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Independiente FBC
2:2
Sep 29, 2025 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Independiente FBC
1:2
Jun 23, 2025 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Capiata
1:2
Jul 15, 2021 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Capiata
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente FBC Compare
Top Goalscorer Montiel A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Deportivo Capiata Compare
Top Goalscorer Benitez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente FBC 95 / 100
Deportivo Capiata 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente FBC Deportivo Capiata
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente FBC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Independiente FBC scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Deportivo Capiata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Independiente FBC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Independiente FBC VS Deportivo Capiata
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente FBC
(Home) 30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
12 de Junio
0 : 4 Independiente FBC
14 Sept
Independiente FBC
1 : 0 Encarnacion FC
09 Sept
Deportivo Santani
1 : 2 Independiente FBC
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
14 Sept
Independiente FBC
1 : 0 Encarnacion FC
04 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 0 Fernando de la Mora
22 Aug
Independiente FBC
0 : 0 General Caballero JLM
Page 1 of 4
Deportivo Capiata
(Away) 02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
27 Sept
Deportivo Capiata
0 : 0 12 de Junio
21 Sept
Encarnacion FC
3 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
13 Sept
Deportivo Capiata
0 : 1 Deportivo Santani
09 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 0 Deportivo Capiata
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
21 Sept
Encarnacion FC
3 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
09 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 0 Deportivo Capiata
28 Aug
General Caballero JLM
2 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
16 Aug
Resistencia
1 : 0 Deportivo Capiata
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Santani | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 45:25 | 51 |
| 2 | General Caballero JLM | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 52:33 | 50 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 35:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Benjamin Aceval | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40:32 | 42 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32:24 | 40 |
| 6 | Sportivo Carapegua | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | 39 |
| 7 | Paraguari AC | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Independiente FBC | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 37:33 | 37 |
| 9 | Atletico Tembetary | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 39:42 | 36 |
| 10 | Resistencia | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | 35 |
| 11 | Fernando de la Mora | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30:35 | 34 |
| 12 | Deportivo Capiata | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 31:37 | 29 |
| 13 | 3 de Noviembre | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33:40 | 26 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22:35 | 25 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 27 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 30:43 | 24 |
| 16 | Encarnacion FC | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 25:39 | 22 |
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)
