Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Independiente FBC vs Encarnacion FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Sarquis E.

AI Match Summary

Independiente FBC in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente FBC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Independiente FBC
15%
Draws
17%
Encarnacion FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente FBC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Independiente FBC have won more games recently than Encarnacion FC.
  • Model gives Independiente FBC a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 68%
Encarnacion FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente FBC Encarnacion FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.58 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Encarnacion FC
1:0
May 23, 2026 Division Intermedia
Encarnacion FC vs Independiente FBC
2:3
Jul 4, 2025 Division Intermedia
Encarnacion FC vs Independiente FBC
3:0
Mar 28, 2025 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Encarnacion FC
1:0
Oct 7, 2024 Division Intermedia
Encarnacion FC vs Independiente FBC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente FBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarquis E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Encarnacion FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente FBC 95 / 100
Encarnacion FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente FBC Encarnacion FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente FBC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente FBC scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Encarnacion FC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Independiente FBC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Independiente FBC VS Encarnacion FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente FBC

(Home)
10 Oct
Independiente FBC
3 : 0
Atletico Tembetary
06 Oct
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 3
Independiente FBC
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2
Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
12 de Junio
0 : 4
Independiente FBC
Page 1 of 7

Encarnacion FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Guairena FC
1 : 0
Encarnacion FC
02 Oct
Encarnacion FC
0 : 3
Resistencia
26 Sept
Sol de America
2 : 0
Encarnacion FC
21 Sept
Encarnacion FC
3 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
14 Sept
Independiente FBC
1 : 0
Encarnacion FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Santani 27 17 3 7 46:25 54
2 General Caballero JLM 27 16 5 6 54:33 53
3 12 de Junio 27 14 8 5 36:27 50
4 Independiente FBC 28 11 10 7 43:35 43
5 Benjamin Aceval 27 12 6 9 42:35 42
6 Sportivo Carapegua 28 12 6 10 36:41 42
7 Sol de America 28 9 14 5 35:29 41
8 Paraguari AC 28 12 5 11 40:37 41
9 Atletico Tembetary 28 10 6 12 39:45 36
10 Resistencia 27 9 8 10 31:32 35
11 Fernando de la Mora 28 9 7 12 32:40 34
12 3 de Noviembre 28 7 8 13 36:42 29
13 Deportivo Capiata 27 6 11 10 31:37 29
14 Guairena FC 28 7 7 14 23:36 28
15 Tacuary 28 4 12 12 32:47 24
16 Encarnacion FC 28 6 4 18 25:40 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)