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Independiente FBC vs Tacuary

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dietze S.
Penalty Missed
21' Event
Dramane D.
28' Event
de Lira Benedito G.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between Independiente FBC and Tacuary finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Independiente FBC
35%
Draws
15%
Tacuary
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Independiente FBC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Independiente FBC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Independiente FBC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 68%
Tacuary Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente FBC Tacuary
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 11 13
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.45 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Tacuary
2:2
Aug 20, 2025 Division Intermedia
Tacuary vs Independiente FBC
1:0
May 14, 2025 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Tacuary
0:1
Sep 17, 2021 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Tacuary
0:2
Jun 13, 2021 Division Intermedia
Tacuary vs Independiente FBC
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente FBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dramane D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Portillo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tacuary Compare

Top Goalscorer de Lira Benedito G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salcedo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente FBC 95 / 100
Tacuary 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente FBC Tacuary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente FBC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Independiente FBC scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Tacuary's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Independiente FBC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente FBC VS Tacuary
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente FBC

(Home)
20 Sept
12 de Junio
0 : 4
Independiente FBC
14 Sept
Independiente FBC
1 : 0
Encarnacion FC
09 Sept
Deportivo Santani
1 : 2
Independiente FBC
04 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 0
Fernando de la Mora
28 Aug
3 de Noviembre
5 : 2
Independiente FBC
Page 1 of 6

Tacuary

(Away)
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0
Tacuary
15 Sept
Tacuary
1 : 2
12 de Junio
09 Sept
Encarnacion FC
1 : 1
Tacuary
05 Sept
Tacuary
0 : 3
Deportivo Santani
29 Aug
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 1
Tacuary
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 General Caballero JLM 25 15 5 5 51:30 50
2 Deportivo Santani 25 15 3 7 43:24 48
3 12 de Junio 25 14 6 5 35:26 48
4 Benjamin Aceval 25 12 6 7 39:30 42
5 Sol de America 25 8 13 4 30:24 37
6 Independiente FBC 25 9 10 6 37:32 37
7 Paraguari AC 25 10 5 10 34:33 35
8 Sportivo Carapegua 25 10 5 10 30:38 35
9 Resistencia 25 8 8 9 27:30 32
10 Fernando de la Mora 25 8 7 10 28:35 31
11 Atletico Tembetary 25 8 6 11 34:39 30
12 Deportivo Capiata 25 6 9 10 30:36 27
13 Guairena FC 25 6 7 12 22:33 25
14 3 de Noviembre 25 5 8 12 30:38 23
15 Encarnacion FC 25 6 4 15 25:34 22
16 Tacuary 25 3 12 10 26:39 21
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)