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Independiente FBC vs Tacuary

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dietze S.
Penalty Missed
21' Event
Dramane D.
28' Event
de Lira Benedito G.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between Independiente FBC and Tacuary finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Independiente FBC
40%
Draws
29%
Tacuary
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Independiente FBC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 13%
Tacuary Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente FBC Tacuary
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Tacuary
2:2
Aug 20, 2025 Division Intermedia
Tacuary vs Independiente FBC
1:0
May 14, 2025 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Tacuary
0:1
Sep 17, 2021 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Tacuary
0:2
Jun 13, 2021 Division Intermedia
Tacuary vs Independiente FBC
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente FBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dramane D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Portillo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tacuary Compare

Top Goalscorer de Lira Benedito G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salcedo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente FBC 31 / 100
Tacuary 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente FBC Tacuary

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacuary has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Independiente FBC's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Independiente FBC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente FBC VS Tacuary
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 de Junio1493221:1130
2Benjamin Aceval1484224:1328
3General Caballero JLM1483330:2027
4Deportivo Santani1473418:1124
5Sol de America1457217:1222
6Atletico Tembetary1463523:2021
7Deportivo Capiata1456321:1821
8Guairena FC1463516:1721
9Independiente FBC1455421:1920
10Resistencia1446416:1818
11Sportivo Carapegua1444616:2616
12Fernando de la Mora1443715:2215
13Tacuary1427519:2313
14Paraguari AC1424812:1810
15Encarnacion FC14221013:228
163 de Noviembre1407712:247