Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Independiente Juniors vs Cumbaya

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Perez Tica J.
90' Event
Cuero Palacio J. R.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Balda M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Independiente Juniors and Cumbaya finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independiente Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Independiente Juniors
35%
Draws
18%
Cumbaya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Independiente Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Independiente Juniors come out ahead of Cumbaya on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Independiente Juniors's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 68%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Juniors Cumbaya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 13
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Independiente Juniors
1:0
Mar 26, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Cumbaya
2:1
Jun 5, 2025 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Independiente Juniors
1:3
Mar 25, 2025 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Cumbaya
0:2
Sep 24, 2021 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Independiente Juniors
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez Tica J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Cumbaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Balda M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente Juniors 86 / 100
Cumbaya 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Juniors Cumbaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente Juniors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente Juniors has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Independiente Juniors found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Cumbaya let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Independiente Juniors VS Cumbaya
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente Juniors

(Home)
15 Aug
Nueve de Octubre
2 : 2
Independiente Juniors
06 Aug
Independiente Juniors
2 : 0
22 de Julio
01 Aug
Gualaceo
2 : 3
Independiente Juniors
23 Jul
Independiente Juniors
2 : 0
Vinotinto
17 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 1
Independiente Juniors
Page 1 of 6

Cumbaya

(Away)
13 Aug
Cumbaya
3 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
08 Aug
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 0
Cumbaya
30 Jul
Cumbaya
0 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
22 Jul
San Antonio
0 : 0
Cumbaya
16 Jul
Cumbaya
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 21 10 8 3 27:15 38
2 Nueve de Octubre 21 9 9 3 22:14 36
3 Atletico FC 21 8 11 2 22:14 35
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 21 9 7 5 20:20 34
5 Vinotinto 21 8 6 7 25:17 30
6 San Antonio 21 7 9 5 24:21 30
7 Cumbaya 21 5 11 5 22:19 26
8 Dep. Santo Domingo 21 6 9 6 17:16 24
9 LDU Portoviejo 21 6 6 9 15:22 24
10 Gualaceo 21 6 8 7 16:16 20
11 22 de Julio 21 4 3 14 10:29 9
12 EL Nacional 21 2 5 14 14:31 8
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)