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Independiente Juniors vs Gualaceo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie B
Independiente Juniors Logo

Independiente Juniors

1 - 1
FT
Gualaceo Logo

Gualaceo

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Padilla J.
53' Event
Cuero Palacio J. R.
85'
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Independiente Juniors
20%
Draws
47%
Gualaceo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gualaceo have won more games recently than Independiente Juniors.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 18%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Juniors Gualaceo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 11 9
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.24 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Independiente Juniors
2:3
May 7, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Gualaceo
1:1
Oct 16, 2025 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Gualaceo
2:1
Sep 16, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Independiente Juniors
1:0
Jul 24, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Independiente Juniors
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuero Palacio J. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gualaceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Padilla J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente Juniors 32 / 100
Gualaceo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Juniors Gualaceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Independiente Juniors scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Independiente Juniors remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gualaceo has conceded goals in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Independiente Juniors VS Gualaceo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente Juniors

(Home)
08 Oct
Independiente Juniors
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
02 Oct
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Independiente Juniors
24 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3
Vinotinto
17 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 1
Atletico FC
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1
Independiente Juniors
Page 1 of 6

Gualaceo

(Away)
03 Oct
Gualaceo
4 : 2
22 de Julio
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)