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Independiente Juniors vs Vinotinto

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
88' Event

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Independiente Juniors and Vinotinto finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independiente Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Independiente Juniors
28%
Draws
22%
Vinotinto
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Independiente Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Independiente Juniors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Independiente Juniors taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 68%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Juniors Vinotinto
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Vinotinto
2:0
May 3, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Independiente Juniors
2:2
Oct 30, 2024 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Independiente Juniors
3:2
Jul 11, 2024 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Vinotinto
1:1
Jun 13, 2024 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Independiente Juniors
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente Juniors 59 / 100
Vinotinto 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Juniors Vinotinto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente Juniors's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vinotinto let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Independiente Juniors has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Independiente Juniors VS Vinotinto
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente Juniors

(Home)
23 Jul
Independiente Juniors
2 : 0
Vinotinto
17 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 1
Independiente Juniors
11 Jul
Independiente Juniors
0 : 0
Atletico FC
09 Jul
Independiente Juniors
1 : 2
LDU Quito
03 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
Independiente Juniors
Page 1 of 6

Vinotinto

(Away)
23 Jul
Independiente Juniors
2 : 0
Vinotinto
15 Jul
Vinotinto
2 : 1
EL Nacional
11 Jul
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Vinotinto
01 Jul
Vinotinto
1 : 2
Gualaceo
09 Jun
Nueve de Octubre
2 : 1
Vinotinto
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1897220:1134
2Independiente Juniors1887320:1131
3Atletico FC18710121:1331
4CD Cuenca Juniors1886419:1830
5Vinotinto1975723:1726
6San Antonio1959521:2024
7Cumbaya1858519:1623
8LDU Portoviejo1864815:2122
9Gualaceo1867513:1119
10Dep. Santo Domingo1857613:1319
1122 de Julio1843119:239
12EL Nacional18051310:292
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)