Sport Picks
Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda 
Match Events
8'
8'
Molinas A.
(Penalty)
15'
15'
Avalos G.
(Penalty)
29'
29'
Gutierrez M.
Assist: Avalos G.
AI Match Summary
Independiente in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Independiente lately — more wins on the board than Defensa y Justicia.
- Model gives Independiente a 48% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Independiente Clean Sheet 68%
Defensa y Justicia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente | Defensa y Justicia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia
3:1
Jun 4, 2024 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente
0:0
Feb 20, 2023 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia
0:2
Jul 20, 2022 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente
2:1
Aug 21, 2021 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutierrez M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Millan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Defensa y Justicia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente 77 / 100
Defensa y Justicia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente Defensa y Justicia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente scored in 89% of their last 27 games.
Defensa y Justicia has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Independiente went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Independiente VS Defensa y Justicia
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente
(Home) 09 Aug
Independiente
0 : 1 Platense
03 Aug
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Independiente
31 Jul
Independiente
1 : 0 Newells Old Boys
26 Jul
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 2 Independiente
22 May
Union de Santa Fe
0 : 2 Independiente
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Independiente
0 : 1 Platense
31 Jul
Independiente
1 : 0 Newells Old Boys
18 Apr
Independiente
3 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
04 Apr
Independiente
1 : 0 Racing Club
27 Mar
Independiente
4 : 2 Biblioteca Atenas
Page 1 of 3
Defensa y Justicia
(Away) 09 Aug
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 1 Newells Old Boys
01 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
29 Jul
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 1 Deportivo Riestra
24 Jul
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 1 Aldosivi
16 Jul
Racing Club
4 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
16 Jul
Racing Club
4 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
04 May
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
18 Apr
Independiente
3 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
07 Apr
Instituto
2 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
