Sport Picks
Independiente vs Lanus
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda 
Match Events
22'
22'
Millan L.
28'
28'
Marcich S.
43'
43'
Losada N.
AI Match Summary
Independiente in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Very High Confidence
- Lanus haven't matched Independiente's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Independiente's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Independiente Clean Sheet 68%
Lanus Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente | Lanus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 13, 2026 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Lanus
2:0
Oct 13, 2025 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Lanus
0:2
Apr 6, 2025 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Independiente
1:1
Oct 18, 2024 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Independiente
0:2
May 27, 2023 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Lanus
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente Compare
Top Goalscorer Abaldo M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Avalos G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Lanus Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente 95 / 100
Lanus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente Lanus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Independiente went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Lanus lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Independiente VS Lanus
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente
(Home) 03 Aug
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Independiente
31 Jul
Independiente
1 : 0 Newells Old Boys
26 Jul
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 2 Independiente
22 May
Union de Santa Fe
0 : 2 Independiente
10 May
Rosario Central
3 : 1 Independiente
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Independiente
1 : 0 Newells Old Boys
18 Apr
Independiente
3 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
04 Apr
Independiente
1 : 0 Racing Club
27 Mar
Independiente
4 : 2 Biblioteca Atenas
21 Mar
Independiente
1 : 2 Talleres Cordoba
Page 1 of 3
Lanus
(Away) 06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1 Lanus
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1 Instituto
30 Jul
Cienciano
4 : 0 Lanus
26 Jul
Lanus
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
23 Jul
Lanus
2 : 0 Cienciano
Page 1 of 6
06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1 Lanus
30 Jul
Cienciano
4 : 0 Lanus
30 May
Instituto
2 : 1 Lanus
21 May
LDU Quito
2 : 0 Lanus
10 May
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 0 Lanus
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
