Sport Picks
Independiente vs Lanus Prediction & H2H Stats
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda 
Match Events
22'
22'
Millan L.
28'
28'
Marcich S.
43'
43'
Losada N.
AI Match Summary
Independiente in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lanus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Independiente at 1.38 per game, Lanus at 0.93.
- Win probability leans Lanus's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Independiente Clean Sheet 19%
Lanus Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente | Lanus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 17, 2026 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Independiente
1:3
Feb 13, 2026 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Lanus
2:0
Oct 13, 2025 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Lanus
0:2
Apr 6, 2025 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Independiente
1:1
Oct 18, 2024 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Independiente
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente Compare
Top Goalscorer Abaldo M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Avalos G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Lanus Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente 28 / 100
Lanus 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente Lanus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lanus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Independiente went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Lanus let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Independiente VS Lanus
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente
(Home) 19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2 Independiente
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
0 : 1 Independiente
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3 Gimnasia Mendoza
22 Aug
Independiente
0 : 0 Ind. Rivadavia
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3 Gimnasia Mendoza
22 Aug
Independiente
0 : 0 Ind. Rivadavia
09 Aug
Independiente
0 : 1 Platense
31 Jul
Independiente
1 : 0 Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 3
Lanus
(Away) 22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1 Estudiantes L.P.
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3 Lanus
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
29 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Lanus
25 Aug
Lanus
1 : 1 Argentinos Jrs
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3 Lanus
29 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Lanus
12 Aug
Talleres Cordoba
0 : 3 Lanus
06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1 Lanus
30 Jul
Cienciano
4 : 0 Lanus
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
