Sport Picks
Independiente vs Vaca Diez
Bolivia
League Cup 2023 Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre 
Match Events
18'
18'
Sub
Rivera E. In: Melgar V.
Out: Rivera E.
30'
30'
Melgar V.
43'
43'
Quiroga M.
AI Match Summary
Independiente in this League Cup 2023 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Independiente have won more games recently than Vaca Diez.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Independiente taking it.
- Independiente have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Independiente, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Independiente Clean Sheet 16%
Vaca Diez Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente | Vaca Diez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2023 Copa Pacena
Independiente vs Vaca Diez
3:0
Aug 20, 2023 Division Profesional
Independiente vs Vaca Diez
0:1
Jul 21, 2023 Copa Pacena
Vaca Diez vs Independiente
0:1
Apr 1, 2023 Division Profesional
Vaca Diez vs Independiente
1:0
Dec 20, 2020 Copa Simon Bolivar
Independiente vs Vaca Diez
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente Compare
Top Goalscorer Melgar V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pedriel R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Vaca Diez Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente 66 / 100
Vaca Diez 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente Vaca Diez
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vaca Diez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Independiente scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Vaca Diez lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Independiente VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente
(Home) 18 Sept
Independiente
1 : 3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
13 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1 Independiente
11 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1 Independiente
06 Sept
Independiente
0 : 4 Bolivar
01 Sept
Tomayapo
3 : 0 Independiente
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Independiente
1 : 3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
06 Sept
Independiente
0 : 4 Bolivar
27 Aug
Independiente
3 : 1 Guabira
19 Aug
Independiente
5 : 2 Blooming
17 Aug
Independiente
1 : 0 GV San Jose
Page 1 of 4
Vaca Diez
(Away) 21 Sept
Vaca Diez
0 : 0 Wilstermann Cooperativas
15 Sept
Vaca Diez
1 : 3 3 de Febrero
06 Sept
Academia del Balompie
5 : 0 Vaca Diez
31 Aug
3 de Febrero
3 : 0 Vaca Diez
25 Aug
Vaca Diez
1 : 4 Academia del Balompie
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Academia del Balompie
5 : 0 Vaca Diez
31 Aug
3 de Febrero
3 : 0 Vaca Diez
18 Aug
Wilstermann Cooperativas
1 : 1 Vaca Diez
06 Dec
Aurora
3 : 0 Vaca Diez
28 Nov
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0 Vaca Diez
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Jorge Wilstermann | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 3 | Royal Pari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 13 |
| 4 | Libertad Gran Mamore | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 13 |
| 5 | Tomayapo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:13 | 12 |
| 6 | Oriente Petrolero | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | 6 |
Promotion - League Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurora | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:4 | 13 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Guabira | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 4 | Atletico Palmaflor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | 6 |
Promotion - League Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blooming | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20:17 | 15 |
| 3 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 4 | Nacional Potosi | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 20:17 | 12 |
| 5 | Vaca Diez | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | 8 |
Promotion - League Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
