Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Independiente Valle del Cauca vs Envigado

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda, Yumbo (COL)
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Cuero J.
39' Event
Diaz T.
45'
Ordonez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Independiente Valle del Cauca
30%
Draws
12%
Envigado
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independiente Valle del Cauca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Envigado have won more games recently than Independiente Valle del Cauca.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Independiente Valle del Cauca taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Independiente Valle del Cauca Clean Sheet 68%
Envigado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Valle del Cauca Envigado
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Primera B
Independiente Valle del Cauca vs Envigado
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Independiente Valle del Cauca
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Valle del Cauca Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Rey J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente Valle del Cauca 95 / 100
Envigado 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Valle del Cauca Envigado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente Valle del Cauca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente Valle del Cauca scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Envigado has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Independiente Valle del Cauca has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Independiente Valle del Cauca VS Envigado
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente Valle del Cauca

(Home)
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0
Quindio
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
28 Aug
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 0
Leones
24 Aug
Real Santander
1 : 0
Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 6

Envigado

(Away)
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2
Envigado
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
23 Aug
Quindio
1 : 0
Envigado
19 Aug
Tigres Futbol Club
2 : 1
Envigado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 8 5 2 1 10:2 17
2 Patriotas 8 5 2 1 15:10 17
3 Real Cundinamarca 8 4 2 2 13:8 14
4 Tigres Futbol Club 8 4 2 2 8:3 14
5 Atletico F.C. 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
6 Cartagena 8 4 1 3 16:10 13
7 Quindio 8 2 4 2 6:5 10
8 Real Santander 8 2 4 2 11:14 10
9 Leones 8 2 3 3 6:13 9
10 Boca Juniors de Cali 7 2 2 3 8:9 8
11 Orsomarso 7 2 2 3 4:6 8
12 Barranquilla 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
13 Bogota 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
14 Inter Palmira 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
15 Envigado 7 1 3 3 6:8 6
16 Union Magdalena 7 1 1 5 3:8 4
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)