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India U23 vs Qatar U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

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AFC Asian Cup U23
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Al Hussain A.
52' Event
Suhail F M.
66'
Ranbir P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
India U23
30%
Draws
16%
Qatar U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: India U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Qatar U23 come out ahead of India U23 on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on India U23 taking it.
  • Qatar U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Qatar U23, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Qatar U23 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
India U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Qatar U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric India U23 Qatar U23
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 7 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23
India U23 vs Qatar U23
1:2
Jul 21, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23
India U23 vs Qatar U23
0:1
Nov 9, 2010 Asian Games
Qatar U23 vs India U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

India U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Suhail F M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Qatar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Hussain A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

India U23 85 / 100
Qatar U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
India U23 Qatar U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick India U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

India U23 found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Qatar U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

India U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

India U23 VS Qatar U23
2.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

India U23

(Home)
31 Mar
India U23
0 : 1
Tajikistan U23
28 Mar
India U23
5 : 0
Bhutan U23
15 Nov
Thailand U23
4 : 0
India U23
13 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 1
India U23
10 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 2
India U23
Page 1 of 6

Qatar U23

(Away)
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
15 Sept
Qatar U23
1 : 4
South Korea U23
06 Sept
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Qatar U23
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 3 0 0 19:1 9
2 Turkmenistan U23 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Bhutan U23 3 1 0 2 3:14 3
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Kuwait U23 3 1 1 1 2:6 4
3 Afghanistan U23 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Myanmar U23 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Yemen U23 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Bangladesh U23 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Singapore U23 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 2 1 0 20:0 7
2 China U23 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U23 3 0 0 3 0:30 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Uzbekistan U23 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
3 Palestine U23 3 1 0 2 7:4 3
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Lebanon U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Malaysia U23 3 1 0 2 8:3 3
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Oman U23 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
4 Pakistan U23 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 3 0 0 17:2 9
2 India U23 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 0 2 11:4 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 0:29 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 17:3 6
3 Hong Kong U23 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Guam U23 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Indonesia U23 3 1 1 1 5:1 4
3 Laos U23 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U23 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Philippines U23 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Tajikistan U23 3 1 0 2 4:2 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams