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India W vs Malawi W

World World

Friendly International Women Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Oraon A.
43' Event
Khumalo I.
45' Event
Singh A.

AI Match Summary

India W in this Friendly International Women matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored India W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
India W
15%
Draws
32%
Malawi W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: India W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • India W haven't matched Malawi W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans India W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
India W Clean Sheet 68%
Malawi W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric India W Malawi W
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 15 18
Draws 1 3
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.34 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Friendly International Women
India W vs Malawi W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

India W Compare

Top Goalscorer Oraon A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Singh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Malawi W Compare

Top Goalscorer Khumalo I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henry D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

India W 95 / 100
Malawi W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
India W Malawi W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick India W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: India W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

India W found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Malawi W conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

India W VS Malawi W
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

India W

(Home)
06 Jun
Bangladesh W
1 : 3
India W
03 Jun
India W
1 : 0
Bhutan W
31 May
India W
3 : 0
Bangladesh W
25 May
Maldives W
0 : 11
India W
15 Apr
India W
3 : 2
Malawi W
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Malawi W

(Away)
16 Aug
Cameroon W
3 : 0
Malawi W
12 Aug
Algeria W
1 : 3
Malawi W
09 Aug
Malawi W
2 : 1
Ghana W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Egypt W
1 : 3
Malawi W
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