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Indonesia U22 vs Philippines U22

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ferdinan M.
90' Event
Jauhari I.
90' Event
Firdaus F.

AI Match Summary

The Southeast Asian Games 2023 game between Indonesia U22 and Philippines U22 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indonesia U22.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Indonesia U22
15%
Draws
28%
Philippines U22
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indonesia U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Indonesia U22 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Indonesia U22 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Indonesia U22 Clean Sheet 68%
Philippines U22 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U22 Philippines U22
Matches Played 18 20
Wins 13 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.17 0.6
Goals Conceded 1 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 8, 2025 Southeast Asian Games
Philippines U22 vs Indonesia U22
1:0
Apr 29, 2023 Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia U22 vs Philippines U22
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferdinan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jauhari I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Philippines U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U22 95 / 100
Philippines U22 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U22 Philippines U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U22 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Indonesia U22 scored in 89% of their last 18 outings.

Philippines U22's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 20 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Indonesia U22 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U22 VS Philippines U22
3 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia U22

(Home)
12 Dec
Indonesia U22
3 : 1
Myanmar U22
08 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 0
Indonesia U22
16 May
Indonesia U22
5 : 2
Thailand U22
13 May
Indonesia U22
3 : 2
Vietnam U22
10 May
Cambodia U22
1 : 2
Indonesia U22
Page 1 of 4

Philippines U22

(Away)
18 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 2
Malaysia U22
15 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Philippines U22
08 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 0
Indonesia U22
05 Dec
Myanmar U22
0 : 2
Philippines U22
10 May
Philippines U22
0 : 1
Myanmar U22
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U22 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Myanmar U22 4 3 0 1 4:5 9
3 Cambodia U22 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
4 Timor-Leste U22 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
5 Philippines U22 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U22 4 3 1 0 10:3 10
2 Vietnam U22 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
3 Malaysia U22 4 2 0 2 13:5 6
4 Laos U22 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
5 Singapore U22 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2023 (Play Offs)