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Indonesia U22 vs Vietnam U22 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Trisnanda K.
36' Event
Nguyen Van Tung
53' Event
Ferarri M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Indonesia U22 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Indonesia U22
15%
Draws
42%
Vietnam U22
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indonesia U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vietnam U22 come out ahead of Indonesia U22 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Indonesia U22's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Vietnam U22 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Indonesia U22, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Indonesia U22 Clean Sheet 68%
Vietnam U22 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U22 Vietnam U22
Matches Played 18 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 2.17 1.79
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia U22 vs Vietnam U22
3:2
Feb 24, 2019 ASEAN Championship U23
Vietnam U22 vs Indonesia U22
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Trisnanda K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferarri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Vietnam U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Van Tung
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U22 77 / 100
Vietnam U22 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U22 Vietnam U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U22 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indonesia U22's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Vietnam U22 has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Indonesia U22 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U22 VS Vietnam U22
3 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia U22

(Home)
12 Dec
Indonesia U22
3 : 1
Myanmar U22
08 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 0
Indonesia U22
16 May
Indonesia U22
5 : 2
Thailand U22
13 May
Indonesia U22
3 : 2
Vietnam U22
10 May
Cambodia U22
1 : 2
Indonesia U22
Page 1 of 4

Vietnam U22

(Away)
18 Dec
Thailand U22
2 : 3
Vietnam U22
15 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Philippines U22
11 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Malaysia U22
03 Dec
Laos U22
1 : 2
Vietnam U22
18 Nov
Vietnam U22
0 : 1
South Korea U22
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Indonesia U22 3
Vietnam U22 2
Thailand U22 3
Myanmar U22 0
Final
Indonesia U22 5
Thailand U22 2
Vietnam U22 3
Myanmar U22 1