Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Indonesia U23 vs Guinea U23

World World

Olympic Games Clairefontaine Training Center, Clairefontaine-en-Yvelines
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Ferarri M.
29' Event
Moriba I.
(Penalty)
36'
Teguh K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Indonesia U23
20%
Draws
60%
Guinea U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guinea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Indonesia U23 have won more games recently than Guinea U23.
  • Indonesia U23 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Indonesia U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guinea U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Indonesia U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Guinea U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U23 Guinea U23
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.6 0.78
Goals Conceded 1 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2024 Olympic Games
Indonesia U23 vs Guinea U23
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U23 49 / 100
Guinea U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U23 Guinea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indonesia U23 found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Guinea U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 21 matches.

Guinea U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U23 VS Guinea U23
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia U23

(Home)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
13 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 1
India U23
10 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 2
India U23
09 Sept
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Indonesia U23
Page 1 of 6

Guinea U23

(Away)
19 Jul
Argentina U23
0 : 1
Guinea U23
09 May
Indonesia U23
0 : 1
Guinea U23
22 Mar
USA U23
3 : 0
Guinea U23
07 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Guinea U23
04 Jul
Egypt U23
1 : 0
Guinea U23
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Indonesia U23 0
Guinea U23 1