Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Indonesia U23 vs Thailand U23

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship U23 Bung Karno Stadium
Fri, Jul 25, 2025
2 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Praphanth P.
23'
Otton C.
35'
Darwis R.

AI Match Summary

The ASEAN Championship U23 game between Indonesia U23 and Thailand U23 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indonesia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Indonesia U23
17%
Draws
13%
Thailand U23
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Indonesia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Indonesia U23 haven't matched Thailand U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Indonesia U23 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Indonesia U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U23 Thailand U23
Matches Played 39 45
Wins 21 22
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2025 ASEAN Championship U23
Indonesia U23 vs Thailand U23
2:1
Aug 24, 2023 ASEAN Championship U23
Thailand U23 vs Indonesia U23
1:3
May 19, 2022 Southeast Asian Games
Thailand U23 vs Indonesia U23
1:0
Nov 26, 2019 Southeast Asian Games
Thailand U23 vs Indonesia U23
0:2
Mar 22, 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23
Thailand U23 vs Indonesia U23
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Raven J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Thailand U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Burapha Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U23 77 / 100
Thailand U23 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U23 Thailand U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indonesia U23 scored in 69% of their last 39 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Thailand U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Thailand U23 has conceded goals in 49% of their last 45 outings.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U23 VS Thailand U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vietnam U232
Philippines U231
Indonesia U232
Thailand U231
Final
Vietnam U231
Indonesia U230
Philippines U231
Thailand U233