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Indonesia U23 vs Timor-Leste U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Vikri E.
52' Event
Sulaeman W.
58' Event
Aryanto F.

AI Match Summary

The Southeast Asian Games 2021 game between Indonesia U23 and Timor-Leste U23 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indonesia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Indonesia U23
30%
Draws
47%
Timor-Leste U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Timor-Leste U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Timor-Leste U23 haven't matched Indonesia U23's recent run of results.
  • Indonesia U23 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Southeast Asian Games 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Indonesia U23 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Indonesia U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Timor-Leste U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U23 Timor-Leste U23
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.68 1.27
Goals Conceded 1 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2023 ASEAN Championship U23
Indonesia U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
1:0
May 10, 2022 Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
4:1
Aug 20, 2017 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U23 vs Indonesia U23
0:1
Mar 27, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23
Indonesia U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
5:0
Sep 15, 2014 Asian Games
Timor-Leste U23 vs Indonesia U23
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sulaeman W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vikri E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Timor-Leste U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mouzinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U23 42 / 100
Timor-Leste U23 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U23 Timor-Leste U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Indonesia U23's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Timor-Leste U23 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Timor-Leste U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U23 VS Timor-Leste U23
1.5 Goals Scored 2.2
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.2
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia U23

(Home)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
13 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 1
India U23
10 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 2
India U23
09 Sept
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Indonesia U23
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Timor-Leste U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
6 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U23
06 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 6
Australia U23
03 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
Timor-Leste U23
19 Jul
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 4
Thailand U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 4 3 1 0 6:0 10
2 Indonesia U23 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Myanmar U23 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
4 Philippines U23 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Timor-Leste U23 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 4 3 0 1 12:2 9
2 Malaysia U23 4 2 2 0 9:6 8
3 Singapore U23 4 1 2 1 5:9 5
4 Cambodia U23 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
5 Laos U23 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2021 (Play Offs)