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Indonesia vs Laos

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship 2024 Bung Karno Stadium, Jakarta
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Panyavong P.
Assist: Bounkong B.
12' Event
Arel K.
13' Event
Phommathep P.
Assist: Bounkong B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this ASEAN Championship 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Indonesia
15%
Draws
20%
Laos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indonesia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Laos haven't matched Indonesia's recent run of results.
  • Indonesia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Championship 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Indonesia Clean Sheet 68%
Laos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia Laos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.38 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Indonesia vs Laos
3:3
Dec 12, 2021 ASEAN Championship
Laos vs Indonesia
1:5
Nov 28, 2014 ASEAN Championship
Indonesia vs Laos
5:1
Nov 25, 2012 ASEAN Championship
Indonesia vs Laos
2:2
Dec 4, 2010 ASEAN Championship
Laos vs Indonesia
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferarri M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arel K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Laos Compare

Top Goalscorer Panyavong P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Phommathep P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia 95 / 100
Laos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia Laos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Laos conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Indonesia found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Indonesia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia VS Laos
2 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia

(Home)
07 Aug
Singapore
1 : 1
Indonesia
03 Aug
Indonesia
0 : 3
Vietnam
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3
Indonesia
27 Jul
Indonesia
5 : 1
Cambodia
09 Jun
Indonesia
1 : 0
Mozambique
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Laos

(Away)
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0
Laos
25 Jul
Laos
0 : 5
Thailand
31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1
Laos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 18:4 12
2 Singapore 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
3 Malaysia 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
4 Cambodia 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 11:2 10
2 Philippines 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
3 Indonesia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Myanmar 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
5 Laos 4 0 2 2 7:11 2
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)