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Indonesia vs Laos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship 2024 Bung Karno Stadium, Jakarta
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Match Events

9' Event
Panyavong P.
Assist: Bounkong B.
12' Event
Arel K.
13' Event
Phommathep P.
Assist: Bounkong B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this ASEAN Championship 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Indonesia
20%
Draws
17%
Laos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Indonesia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Laos haven't matched Indonesia's recent run of results.
  • Indonesia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Championship 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Indonesia Clean Sheet 68%
Laos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia Laos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.76 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Indonesia vs Laos
3:3
Dec 12, 2021 ASEAN Championship
Laos vs Indonesia
1:5
Nov 28, 2014 ASEAN Championship
Indonesia vs Laos
5:1
Nov 25, 2012 ASEAN Championship
Indonesia vs Laos
2:2
Dec 4, 2010 ASEAN Championship
Laos vs Indonesia
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferarri M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arel K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Laos Compare

Top Goalscorer Panyavong P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Phommathep P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia 95 / 100
Laos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia Laos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Laos conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Indonesia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Indonesia's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia VS Laos
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia

(Home)
05 Oct
Indonesia
3 : 2
Thailand
01 Oct
Indonesia
9 : 2
Bangladesh
28 Sept
Malaysia
0 : 0
Indonesia
25 Sept
Indonesia
2 : 0
Singapore
07 Aug
Singapore
1 : 1
Indonesia
Page 1 of 6

Laos

(Away)
27 Sept
Hong Kong
4 : 0
Laos
24 Sept
Laos
3 : 1
Brunei
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0
Laos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 18:4 12
2 Singapore 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
3 Malaysia 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
4 Cambodia 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 11:2 10
2 Philippines 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
3 Indonesia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Myanmar 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
5 Laos 4 0 2 2 7:11 2
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)