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Indonesia vs Vietnam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship Pakansari Stadium, Cibinong
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Match Events

6' Event
Nguyen Van Vi
Assist: Nguyen Hoang Duc
15' Event
Nguyen Hai Long
Assist: Le Pham Thanh Long
31'
Haye T.

AI Match Summary

Vietnam in this ASEAN Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vietnam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Indonesia
30%
Draws
27%
Vietnam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Indonesia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vietnam lately — more wins on the board than Indonesia.
  • Win probability leans Indonesia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Indonesia Clean Sheet 68%
Vietnam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia Vietnam
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 27
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.77 2.56
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Indonesia vs Vietnam
0:3
Dec 15, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Vietnam vs Indonesia
1:0
Mar 26, 2024 World Championship
Vietnam vs Indonesia
0:3
Mar 21, 2024 World Championship
Indonesia vs Vietnam
1:0
Jan 19, 2024 Asian Cup
Vietnam vs Indonesia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vietnam Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Van Vi
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Hai Long
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia 77 / 100
Vietnam 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia Vietnam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Indonesia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Indonesia found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Vietnam has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia VS Vietnam
2.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia

(Home)
05 Oct
Indonesia
3 : 2
Thailand
01 Oct
Indonesia
9 : 2
Bangladesh
28 Sept
Malaysia
0 : 0
Indonesia
25 Sept
Indonesia
2 : 0
Singapore
07 Aug
Singapore
1 : 1
Indonesia
Page 1 of 6

Vietnam

(Away)
05 Oct
Malaysia
1 : 0
Vietnam
02 Oct
Vietnam
4 : 2
Pakistan
29 Sept
Thailand
2 : 0
Vietnam
26 Sept
Vietnam
1 : 0
Philippines
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2
Thailand
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Singapore 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Indonesia 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Cambodia 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 0:15 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 10:0 12
2 Malaysia 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 Myanmar 4 2 0 2 12:7 6
4 Philippines 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Laos 4 0 0 4 3:20 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)