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Indonesia vs Vietnam

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship Pakansari Stadium, Cibinong
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Nguyen Van Vi
Assist: Nguyen Hoang Duc
15' Event
Nguyen Hai Long
Assist: Le Pham Thanh Long
31'
Haye T.

AI Match Summary

Vietnam in this ASEAN Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vietnam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Indonesia
20%
Draws
45%
Vietnam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vietnam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vietnam lately — more wins on the board than Indonesia.
  • Win probability leans Vietnam's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Indonesia Clean Sheet 10%
Vietnam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia Vietnam
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 26
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 0
Goals Scored 1.38 2.82
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Indonesia vs Vietnam
0:3
Dec 15, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Vietnam vs Indonesia
1:0
Mar 26, 2024 World Championship
Vietnam vs Indonesia
0:3
Mar 21, 2024 World Championship
Indonesia vs Vietnam
1:0
Jan 19, 2024 Asian Cup
Vietnam vs Indonesia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vietnam Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Van Vi
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Hai Long
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia 18 / 100
Vietnam 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia Vietnam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vietnam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indonesia's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Indonesia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vietnam has conceded goals in 43% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia VS Vietnam
2.13 Goals Scored 3.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia

(Home)
07 Aug
Singapore
1 : 1
Indonesia
03 Aug
Indonesia
0 : 3
Vietnam
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3
Indonesia
27 Jul
Indonesia
5 : 1
Cambodia
09 Jun
Indonesia
1 : 0
Mozambique
Page 1 of 6

Vietnam

(Away)
19 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 0
Malaysia
16 Aug
Malaysia
0 : 2
Vietnam
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
03 Aug
Indonesia
0 : 3
Vietnam
31 Jul
Vietnam
0 : 0
Singapore
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Singapore 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Indonesia 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Cambodia 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 0:15 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 10:0 12
2 Malaysia 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 Myanmar 4 2 0 2 12:7 6
4 Philippines 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Laos 4 0 0 4 3:20 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)