Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Industria vs Operario

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Vava Pequeno

AI Match Summary

Industria in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Industria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Industria
20%
Draws
0%
Operario
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Industria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Industria average 0.97 goals a game right now, well clear of Operario's 0.8.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Industria Clean Sheet 68%
Operario Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Industria Operario
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.97 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Operario vs Industria
0:2
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Industria vs Operario
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Industria Compare

Top Goalscorer Vava Pequeno
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Operario Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Industria 41 / 100
Operario 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Industria Operario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Industria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Operario registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Industria scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Industria VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Industria

(Home)
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
12 Apr
Industria
0 : 0
O Elvas CAD
04 Apr
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Industria
22 Mar
Industria
1 : 4
Louletano
15 Mar
Sintrense
1 : 0
Industria
Page 1 of 7

Operario

(Away)
21 Sept
Louletano
5 : 0
Operario
13 Apr
Operario
2 : 4
Sintrense
06 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Operario
29 Mar
Operario
0 : 2
Industria
16 Mar
Moncarapachense
3 : 1
Operario
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitano GC 26 18 4 4 57:14 58
2 Amora 26 17 6 3 41:19 57
3 Sintrense 26 16 4 6 39:26 52
4 Moncarapachense 26 15 6 5 39:19 51
5 Louletano 26 15 5 6 44:20 50
6 Serpa 26 13 6 7 42:27 45
7 Estrela da Amadora B 26 7 9 10 35:31 30
8 Lagoa 26 7 9 10 26:35 30
9 Industria 26 8 5 13 35:42 29
10 Fabril do Barreiro 26 6 9 11 21:32 27
11 Moura AC 26 7 5 14 27:50 26
12 Operario 26 6 5 15 22:43 23
13 FC Barreirense 26 5 7 14 31:47 22
14 Estrela Vendas Novas 26 1 2 23 12:66 5
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)