Sport Picks

USA

USL Cup 2025 Michael A. Carroll Stadium

Greenville Triumph

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Indy Eleven play Greenville Triumph in the USL Cup 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Indy Eleven averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Greenville Triumph averaged 1 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Indy Eleven won 0, Greenville Triumph won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 20, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Indy Eleven and 0.63 for Greenville Triumph. This points to a Indy Eleven double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Indy Eleven

19%

Draws

33%

Greenville Triumph

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Indy Eleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Indy Eleven picked up more points recently compared to Greenville Triumph.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 0.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 29%

Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Indy Eleven	Greenville Triumph
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	13	7
Draws	6	5
Losses	9	17
Goals Scored	1.36	1
Goals Conceded	1.07	1.59
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2025 USL Cup

Indy Eleven vs Greenville Triumph

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indy Eleven Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Greenville Triumph Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indy Eleven 49 / 100

Greenville Triumph 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Indy Eleven Greenville Triumph

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Indy Eleven or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Indy Eleven attacking → ← attacking Greenville Triumph

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indy Eleven scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Greenville Triumph let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Indy Eleven went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Greenville Triumph lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 26

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75