Sport Picks
Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Michael A. Carroll Stadium, Indianapolis, IN 
Match Events
3'
3'
Kizza E.
Assist: Blake J.
3'
3'
Burke B.
24'
24'
Herbert A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hartford Athletic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Indy Eleven lately — more wins on the board than Hartford Athletic.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 17%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Indy Eleven | Hartford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Indy Eleven
2:2
Sep 3, 2025 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Indy Eleven
0:2
May 28, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic
4:4
Sep 7, 2024 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Indy Eleven
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Indy Eleven Compare
Top Goalscorer Kizza E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Hartford Athletic Compare
Top Goalscorer Scarlett J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Indy Eleven 36 / 100
Hartford Athletic 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Indy Eleven Hartford Athletic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hartford Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Indy Eleven scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Hartford Athletic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.
Recent resilience: Indy Eleven stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Indy Eleven VS Hartford Athletic
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Indy Eleven
(Home) 03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2 Miami FC
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2 Miami FC
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
22 Aug
Indy Eleven
2 : 1 Louisville City
Page 1 of 4
Hartford Athletic
(Away) 04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Louisville City
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
05 Sept
Detroit City
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
12 Aug
Charlotte Independence
2 : 4 Hartford Athletic
09 Aug
Indy Eleven
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
