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Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United

USA USA

USL Championship Michael A. Carroll Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Indy Eleven host Loudoun United in the USL Championship. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Indy Eleven at 1.5 goals for, 0.75 against; Loudoun United at 1.13 for, 2.25 against. Past meetings favor Indy Eleven slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 19, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.88 - 0.94) back Indy Eleven to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Indy Eleven
28%
Draws
22%
Loudoun United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Indy Eleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Indy Eleven come out ahead of Loudoun United on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Indy Eleven taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 20%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indy Eleven Loudoun United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven
3:2
Oct 8, 2024 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven
0:1
Jul 13, 2024 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United
1:1
Aug 26, 2023 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indy Eleven 49 / 100
Loudoun United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indy Eleven Loudoun United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Loudoun United conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Indy Eleven scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Indy Eleven remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Indy Eleven VS Loudoun United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Indy Eleven

(Home)
18 Jul
Detroit City
2 : 0
Indy Eleven
15 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 0
Indy Eleven
04 Jul
Indy Eleven
2 : 0
Charleston
20 Jun
Lexington
0 : 1
Indy Eleven
13 Jun
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0
Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 6

Loudoun United

(Away)
18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1
Tampa Bay
11 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 0
Loudoun United
03 Jul
Loudoun United
2 : 2
Sporting Jax
24 Jun
Charleston
4 : 1
Loudoun United
21 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1
Loudoun United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1695225:1332
2Charleston1683531:2227
3Detroit City1583423:1427
4Louisville City1673626:2524
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1572619:1823
6Indy Eleven1463518:1621
7Miami FC1656520:2421
8Rhode Island1454524:1819
9Hartford Athletic1547412:1419
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1534817:2613
12Loudoun United1519518:2912
13Sporting Jax17151123:448
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1667321:1925
3New Mexico1473419:1524
4FC Tulsa1464418:1622
5Oakland Roots1556424:2221
6Sacramento Republic1455416:1420
7Phoenix Rising1655623:2420
8Colorado Springs1454524:2219
9El Paso Locomotive1554625:2519
10Lexington1453622:2018
11Las Vegas Lights1553723:2618
12Monterey Bay1643916:2515
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)