Sport Picks
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United
USA
USL Championship Michael A. Carroll Stadium, Indianapolis, IN 
Match Events
28'
28'
Lindley C.
47'
47'
Neidlinger L.
54'
54'
Sub
Torres C. In: Santos P.
Out: Torres C.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Indy Eleven and Loudoun United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Loudoun United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Indy Eleven
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Indy Eleven come out ahead of Loudoun United on wins alone.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Indy Eleven taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 20%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Indy Eleven | Loudoun United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven
3:2
Oct 8, 2024 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven
0:1
Jul 13, 2024 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Indy Eleven Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Loudoun United Compare
Top Goalscorer Aboukoura A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Indy Eleven 85 / 100
Loudoun United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Indy Eleven Loudoun United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Indy Eleven Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Indy Eleven found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Loudoun United has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Indy Eleven remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Indy Eleven VS Loudoun United
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Indy Eleven
(Home) 20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
22 Aug
Indy Eleven
2 : 1 Louisville City
09 Aug
Indy Eleven
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 4
Loudoun United
(Away) 19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1 Loudoun United
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Loudoun United
04 Sept
Loudoun United
4 : 5 Colorado Springs
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1 Loudoun United
22 Aug
Loudoun United
0 : 0 New Mexico
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1 Loudoun United
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Loudoun United
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1 Loudoun United
15 Aug
Detroit City
0 : 0 Loudoun United
25 Jul
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 45:23 | 51 |
| 2 | Charleston | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 50:31 | 43 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 40 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 28:26 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:29 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 35:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36:42 | 23 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 27:42 | 20 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:49 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:65 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:31 | 46 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 37:27 | 43 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 40:37 | 38 |
| 4 | Lexington | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 37 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 30:20 | 37 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 29:28 | 37 |
| 8 | Orange County SC | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34:40 | 36 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:35 | 33 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 35:35 | 33 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30:35 | 30 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:43 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
