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Indy Eleven vs Menace

USA USA

US Open Cup Michael A. Carroll Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Indy Eleven play Menace in the US Open Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Indy Eleven averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. Menace averaged 2.61 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. In past meetings, Indy Eleven won 1, Menace won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 18, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Indy Eleven and 1.06 for Menace. This points to a Indy Eleven double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Indy Eleven
15%
Draws
40%
Menace
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indy Eleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Indy Eleven picked up more points recently compared to Menace.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 22%
Menace Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indy Eleven Menace
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.36 2.61
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 US Open Cup
Indy Eleven vs Menace
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indy Eleven Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesanvi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okello N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Menace Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indy Eleven 45 / 100
Menace 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indy Eleven Menace

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Indy Eleven or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Indy Eleven attacking → ← attacking Menace

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indy Eleven scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Menace let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Indy Eleven went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Menace lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 50
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63