Sport Picks
Indy Eleven vs Union Omaha
USA
US Open Cup Michael A. Carroll Stadium, Indianapolis, IN 
Match Events
35'
35'
Sub
Ors Navarro S. In: Gutierrez D.
Out: Ors Navarro S.
35'
35'
Sub
Lawrence C. In: Boudadi Y.
Out: Lawrence C.
46'
46'
Sub
Okello N. In: Quinn A.
Out: Okello N.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Omaha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Union Omaha carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Union Omaha arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Union Omaha, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 16%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Indy Eleven | Union Omaha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 USL Cup
Indy Eleven vs Union Omaha
1:2
Mar 31, 2026 US Open Cup
Indy Eleven vs Union Omaha
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Indy Eleven Compare
Top Goalscorer Blake J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Union Omaha Compare
Top Goalscorer Owusu S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tekiela K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Indy Eleven 31 / 100
Union Omaha 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Indy Eleven Union Omaha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Indy Eleven scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Union Omaha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Indy Eleven has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Indy Eleven VS Union Omaha
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Indy Eleven
(Home) 15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
22 Aug
Indy Eleven
2 : 1 Louisville City
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
22 Aug
Indy Eleven
2 : 1 Louisville City
09 Aug
Indy Eleven
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
25 Jul
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 4
Union Omaha
(Away) 16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2 Union Omaha
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
30 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 New York Cosmos
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0 Union Omaha
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2 Union Omaha
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0 Union Omaha
08 Aug
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 3 Union Omaha
01 Aug
Fort Wayne
0 : 2 Union Omaha
22 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Union Omaha
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Naples 3
Red Force 0
South Georgia Tormenta -
America CFL Spurs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhode Island 4
Faialense 0
Motown 0
Hartford Athletic 2
Chattanooga 2
Kalonji 1
Tennessee Tempo 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 4
Ristozi FC 1
Charleston 2
Florida Badgers 1
Richmond Kickers 2
Northern Virginia 0
West Chester United 1
Loudoun United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asheville City 3
Greenville Triumph 1
Vistula 1
One Knoxville 3
Vermont Green 1
Portland Hearts of Pine 0
Westchester SC 2
NY Renegades 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steel City 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Carolina Core 1
Virginia Dream 2
Flint City 2
Forward Madison 0
Detroit City 5
Michigan Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 6
New Stars 0
Little Rock Rangers 2
FC Tulsa 4
Lexington 9
Flower City Union 0
Louisville City 2
Southern Indiana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico 3
Cruizers FC 2
Laredo Heat 0
El Paso Locomotive 2
Colorado Springs 3
Azteca 0
Ventura 1
Spokane Velocity 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 3
Menace 0
BOHFS St. Louis 0
Union Omaha 8
AV Alta FC 0
Valley 559 FC 1
Sacramento Republic 2
El Farolito 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orange County SC 3
Laguna United 0
Phoenix Rising 4
San Ramon 0
1/32-finals
FC Naples 3
America CFL Spurs 0
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
Rhode Island 2
Hartford Athletic 0
Chattanooga 1
Tennessee Tempo 0
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 3
Charleston 2
Richmond Kickers 1
Loudoun United 0
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
Asheville City 1
One Knoxville 2
Vermont Green 0
Westchester SC 1
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Virginia Dream 0
Flint City 0
Detroit City 1
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 0
FC Tulsa 1
Lexington 0
Louisville City 2
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
New Mexico 0
El Paso Locomotive 4
Colorado Springs 2
Spokane Velocity 1
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 1
Union Omaha 2
Valley 559 FC 0
Sacramento Republic 4
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Orange County SC 1
Phoenix Rising 2
1/16-finals
FC Naples 0
Orlando City 1
New England Revolution 2
Rhode Island 1
Chattanooga 1
Atlanta United 3
Charlotte FC 6
Charlotte Independence 0
Richmond Kickers 0
Columbus Crew 3
DC United 3
One Knoxville 4
Westchester SC 2
New York City 5
New York Red Bulls 3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Detroit City 1
Chicago Fire 2
St. Louis City 4
FC Tulsa 0
Louisville City 2
Austin FC 1
Houston Dynamo 4
El Paso Locomotive 1
Colorado Springs 3
Sporting Kansas City 0
Colorado Rapids 1
Union Omaha 0
Sacramento Republic 0
Minnesota United 1
San Jose Earthquakes 2
Phoenix Rising 0
1/8-finals
Orlando City 4
New England Revolution 3
Atlanta United 2
Charlotte FC 0
Columbus Crew 4
One Knoxville 1
New York City 3
New York Red Bulls 1
Chicago Fire 1
St. Louis City 2
Louisville City 1
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Springs 2
Colorado Rapids 3
Minnesota United 2
San Jose Earthquakes 4
Quarter-finals
Orlando City 4
Atlanta United 1
Columbus Crew 1
New York City 0
St. Louis City 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Rapids 2
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Semi-finals
Orlando City 1
Columbus Crew 2
St. Louis City 3
Colorado Rapids 0
Final
Columbus Crew -
St. Louis City -
