Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inegolspor vs Dogubayazit

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2023/2024
Wed, Oct 11, 2023
2 - 1
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inegolspor play Dogubayazit in the Turkish Cup 2023/2024. Inegolspor are favorites here. Recently, Inegolspor averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Dogubayazit averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Inegolspor won 1, Dogubayazit won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 11, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Inegolspor and 1.13 for Dogubayazit. This points to a Inegolspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Inegolspor
25%
Draws
15%
Dogubayazit
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Inegolspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Inegolspor picked up more points recently compared to Dogubayazit.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Inegolspor Clean Sheet 21%
Dogubayazit Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inegolspor Dogubayazit
Matches Played 31 2
Wins 14 1
Draws 11 0
Losses 6 1
Goals Scored 1.9 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2023 Turkish Cup
Inegolspor vs Dogubayazit
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inegolspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Balci E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Otkun C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Dogubayazit Compare

Top Goalscorer Ergin E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inegolspor 58 / 100
Dogubayazit 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inegolspor Dogubayazit

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inegolspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Inegolspor & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Inegolspor attacking → ← attacking Dogubayazit

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inegolspor scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Dogubayazit let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Inegolspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dogubayazit lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 3
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00