Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inegolspor vs Karacabey Bld. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ozgun B.
59'
Bakirtas K.
59'
Bakirtas K.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group game between Inegolspor and Karacabey Bld. finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karacabey Bld..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Inegolspor
30%
Draws
58%
Karacabey Bld.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karacabey Bld.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Karacabey Bld. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Inegolspor a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Inegolspor Clean Sheet 10%
Karacabey Bld. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inegolspor Karacabey Bld.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.62 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Inegolspor vs Karacabey Bld.
0:1
Jan 18, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Karacabey Bld. vs Inegolspor
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Inegolspor vs Karacabey Bld.
2:1
Apr 30, 2011 3. Lig Group 1
Inegolspor vs Karacabey Bld.
0:0
Dec 9, 2010 3. Lig Group 1
Karacabey Bld. vs Inegolspor
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inegolspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Karacabey Bld. Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozgun B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inegolspor 34 / 100
Karacabey Bld. 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inegolspor Karacabey Bld.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inegolspor found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Karacabey Bld.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Inegolspor has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inegolspor VS Karacabey Bld.
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inegolspor

(Home)
04 Oct
Ankaragucu
4 : 1
Inegolspor
20 Sept
Inegolspor
0 : 1
Karacabey Bld.
13 Sept
Serik Spor
2 : 1
Inegolspor
06 Sept
Inegolspor
2 : 2
12 Bingol Spor
25 Apr
Altinordu
2 : 2
Inegolspor
Page 1 of 6

Karacabey Bld.

(Away)
07 Oct
Karacabey Bld.
3 : 2
Galata Spor Kulubu
03 Oct
Fethiyespor
0 : 1
Karacabey Bld.
27 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 4
Ankaragucu
20 Sept
Inegolspor
0 : 1
Karacabey Bld.
06 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 1
Serik Spor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sakaryaspor 5 5 0 0 13:4 15
2 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Adana 01 5 3 1 1 11:10 10
4 52 Orduspor 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
5 24Erzincanspor 5 2 3 0 9:7 9
6 K. Istklalspor 5 2 2 1 5:5 8
7 Ankaragucu 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
8 Trabzon FK 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
9 Ankara Demirspor 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
10 Karacabey Bld. 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
11 12 Bingol Spor 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Serik Spor 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
13 Kirklarelispor 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
14 Fethiyespor 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
15 Kutahyaspor 5 1 0 4 5:10 3
16 Inegolspor 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
17 Iskenderunspor 4 0 0 4 3:13 -2
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)