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Infesta vs Padroense

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Infesta in this Second Division - Zona Norte matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Infesta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Infesta
20%
Draws
40%
Padroense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Infesta have won more games recently than Padroense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Norte form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Infesta Clean Sheet 19%
Padroense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Infesta Padroense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0.93 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Infesta vs Padroense
2:1
Jan 6, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Padroense vs Infesta
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Infesta 36 / 100
Padroense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Infesta Padroense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Padroense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padroense let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Padroense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Infesta scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Infesta VS Padroense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Infesta

(Home)
07 Aug
Infesta
0 : 5
SC Salgueiros
27 Aug
Infesta
0 : 5
SC Espinho
28 Apr
SC Mirandela
1 : 1
Infesta
21 Apr
Infesta
2 : 1
Padroense
14 Apr
Vizela
2 : 0
Infesta
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Padroense

(Away)
28 Apr
Padroense
1 : 2
Tirsense
21 Apr
Infesta
2 : 1
Padroense
14 Apr
Padroense
2 : 2
AD Fafe
07 Apr
Ribeirao
3 : 0
Padroense
30 Mar
Padroense
4 : 0
AD Limianos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chaves 30 16 10 4 43:21 58
2 Ribeirao 30 15 10 5 43:24 55
3 SC Mirandela 30 15 8 7 41:29 53
4 Vizela 30 14 9 7 41:29 51
5 AD Limianos 30 12 9 9 33:30 45
6 Tirsense 30 11 12 7 35:32 45
7 Famalicao 30 11 10 9 42:35 43
8 Varzim 30 8 16 6 31:26 40
9 AD Fafe 30 10 10 10 37:33 40
10 Boavista 30 9 11 10 44:40 38
11 Amarante FC 30 7 12 11 30:33 33
12 Gondomar 30 7 12 11 25:27 33
13 Vilaverdense FC 30 7 12 11 22:36 33
14 GD Joane 30 7 7 16 27:48 28
15 Infesta 30 7 4 19 30:51 25
16 Padroense 30 5 6 19 23:53 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro (Play Offs)