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Stadium Background

Ingolstadt vs Duisburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ingolstadt host Duisburg in the 3. Liga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Ingolstadt at 1.36 goals for, 1.68 against; Duisburg at 2 for, 1.34 against. Head-to-head, Ingolstadt have won 3 to Duisburg's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.25) point toward Duisburg. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Ingolstadt
15%
Draws
68%
Duisburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Duisburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Duisburg come out ahead of Ingolstadt on wins alone.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Duisburg taking it.
  • Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ingolstadt Duisburg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.36 2
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Duisburg
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Ingolstadt
2:1
Apr 20, 2024 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Duisburg
2:0
Nov 11, 2023 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Ingolstadt
1:2
May 12, 2023 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Duisburg
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingolstadt 10 / 100
Duisburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ingolstadt Duisburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duisburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ingolstadt's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Duisburg has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ingolstadt has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ingolstadt VS Duisburg
1 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ingolstadt

(Home)
11 Oct
Ingolstadt
2 : 4
Wehen
02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1
Ingolstadt
19 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 0
Ingolstadt
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2
Hoffenheim II
12 Sept
Saarbrucken
0 : 1
Ingolstadt
Page 1 of 6

Duisburg

(Away)
13 Oct
Saarbrucken
2 : 4
Duisburg
10 Oct
Duisburg
3 : 2
Hoffenheim II
20 Sept
Wehen
1 : 4
Duisburg
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Duisburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 9 8 0 1 26:11 24
2 FC Viktoria Koln 8 6 0 2 24:11 18
3 RW Essen 9 5 3 1 18:12 18
4 Hansa Rostock 9 4 3 2 17:17 15
5 Saarbrucken 9 4 2 3 21:16 14
6 Mannheim 8 4 1 3 16:11 13
7 Hoffenheim II 9 4 1 4 18:14 13
8 Preussen Munster 8 3 3 2 15:16 12
9 Alemannia Aachen 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Dusseldorf 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
11 VfB Stuttgart II 9 3 2 4 16:18 11
12 Verl 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
13 Fortuna Koln 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
14 Meppen 9 3 1 5 11:16 10
15 Regensburg 8 2 2 4 18:17 8
16 Wurzburger Kickers 9 2 2 5 13:19 8
17 Ingolstadt 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
18 Wehen 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
19 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
20 TSV Havelse 9 1 2 6 12:22 5
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)