Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ingolstadt W vs Freiburg II W

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Women 2024/2025 Audi Sportpark
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ingolstadt W play Freiburg II W in the 2. Bundesliga Women 2024/2025. Ingolstadt W are favorites here. Recently, Ingolstadt W averaged 2.47 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Freiburg II W averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Ingolstadt W won 3, Freiburg II W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 30, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Ingolstadt W and 1.50 for Freiburg II W. This points to a Ingolstadt W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ingolstadt W
15%
Draws
21%
Freiburg II W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ingolstadt W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Ingolstadt W picked up more points recently compared to Freiburg II W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Ingolstadt W Clean Sheet 16%
Freiburg II W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ingolstadt W Freiburg II W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 2.47 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 2. Bundesliga Women
Ingolstadt W vs Freiburg II W
3:0
Oct 13, 2024 2. Bundesliga Women
Freiburg II W vs Ingolstadt W
0:1
Apr 2, 2023 2. Bundesliga Women
Ingolstadt W vs Freiburg II W
1:0
Oct 23, 2022 2. Bundesliga Women
Freiburg II W vs Ingolstadt W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ingolstadt W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kusch E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Reischmann S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Freiburg II W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingolstadt W 61 / 100
Freiburg II W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ingolstadt W Freiburg II W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ingolstadt W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ingolstadt W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ingolstadt W attacking → ← attacking Freiburg II W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ingolstadt W scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Freiburg II W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Ingolstadt W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Freiburg II W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 20
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Union Berlin W26195271:1762
21.FC Nurnberg W26202462:2462
3Hamburger W26158350:1553
4SC Sand W26145766:4647
5Meppen W26134940:2943
6Eintracht Frankfurt II W26134929:2543
7Bochum W261151040:4038
8Ingolstadt W261051141:4335
9B. Monchengladbach W26851333:4129
10Bayern Munich II W26661430:4524
11Andernach W26731623:5424
12Weinberg W26551622:6220
13Freiburg II W26531821:4518
14Gutersloh W26521929:7117