Sport Picks
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu vs Gemlikspor Prediction & H2H Stats
Turkey
3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 
Match Events
27'
27'
Balaban A.
Assist: Cebeci S.
66'
66'
Yildiz A. K.
Assist: Baykara K.
AI Match Summary
The 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 game between Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu and Gemlikspor finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemlikspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu haven't matched Gemlikspor's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Gemlikspor's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu Clean Sheet 10%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu | Gemlikspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 14 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu vs Gemlikspor
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Gemlikspor vs Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu Compare
Top Goalscorer Balaban A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Gemlikspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Yildiz A. K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 10 / 100
Gemlikspor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu Gemlikspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gemlikspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gemlikspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu VS Gemlikspor
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
(Home) 27 Sept
Duzcespor
1 : 1 Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
20 Sept
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
0 : 2 Kucukcekmece
16 Sept
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
1 : 3 Beykoz Anadolu
12 Sept
Pazarspor
4 : 1 Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
06 Sept
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
3 : 2 Zonguldak Komurspor
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
0 : 2 Kucukcekmece
16 Sept
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
1 : 3 Beykoz Anadolu
06 Sept
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
3 : 2 Zonguldak Komurspor
18 Apr
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
1 : 0 Yesil Yalova FK
05 Apr
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
0 : 5 Cankaya FK
Page 1 of 3
Gemlikspor
(Away) 27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0 Bursa Yildirimspor
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2 Gemlikspor
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0 Etimesgut
06 Sept
Aksehirspor
0 : 4 Gemlikspor
18 Apr
Gemlikspor
3 : 1 Kestel Cilekspor
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2 Gemlikspor
06 Sept
Aksehirspor
0 : 4 Gemlikspor
12 Apr
Silivrispor
1 : 2 Gemlikspor
28 Mar
Kucukcekmece
3 : 0 Gemlikspor
14 Mar
Edirnespor Genclik
0 : 0 Gemlikspor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inegol Kafkas | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 49:26 | 62 |
| 2 | Corluspor | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 57:23 | 61 |
| 3 | Kucukcekmece | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 54:30 | 56 |
| 4 | Etimesgut | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 36:23 | 52 |
| 5 | Bursa Yildirimspor | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 38:31 | 49 |
| 6 | Silivrispor | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42:36 | 43 |
| 7 | Buyukcekmece Gucu | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 34:35 | 40 |
| 8 | Gemlikspor | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 38 |
| 9 | Yesil Yalova FK | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38:36 | 37 |
| 10 | Galata Spor Kulubu | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 34:34 | 37 |
| 11 | Bulvarspor | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:47 | 35 |
| 12 | Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 13 | Cankaya FK | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 38:37 | 34 |
| 14 | Kestel Cilekspor | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 27:39 | 30 |
| 15 | 1926 Polatli Belediye | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 24:44 | 28 |
| 16 | Edirnespor Genclik | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 22:65 | 15 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
