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Innsbrucker AC vs Kematen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Tirol
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Innsbrucker AC host Kematen in the Tirol. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Innsbrucker AC have averaged 1.77 scored and 1.37 conceded recently, against Kematen's 2.09 scored and 1.94 conceded. Past meetings favor Kematen slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.75) back Innsbrucker AC to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Innsbrucker AC
35%
Draws
41%
Kematen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kematen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kematen lately — more wins on the board than Innsbrucker AC.
  • Model gives Kematen a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Innsbrucker AC Clean Sheet 12%
Kematen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Innsbrucker AC Kematen
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 14 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.77 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tirol
Innsbrucker AC vs Kematen
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs Innsbrucker AC
1:1
Mar 21, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs Innsbrucker AC
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 Tirol
Innsbrucker AC vs Kematen
1:1
Jun 15, 2024 Tirol
Innsbrucker AC vs Kematen
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Innsbrucker AC 19 / 100
Kematen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Innsbrucker AC Kematen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kematen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Innsbrucker AC found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Kematen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Innsbrucker AC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Innsbrucker AC VS Kematen
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Innsbrucker AC

(Home)
03 Oct
Innsbrucker AC
2 : 2
SV Worgl
26 Sept
SC Mils 05
1 : 0
Innsbrucker AC
19 Sept
Innsbrucker AC
4 : 1
Kolsass Weer
11 Sept
SV Oberperfuss
1 : 1
Innsbrucker AC
05 Sept
Innsbrucker AC
1 : 1
FC Volders
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Kematen

(Away)
09 Oct
SV Worgl
1 : 1
Kematen
03 Oct
Kematen
5 : 0
SC Mils 05
26 Sept
Kolsass Weer
1 : 3
Kematen
19 Sept
Kematen
3 : 0
SV Oberperfuss
12 Sept
FC Volders
1 : 0
Kematen
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