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Stadium Background

Institute vs Dunmurry Rec

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-0, with Institute advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Institute
15%
Draws
42%
Dunmurry Rec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Institute come out ahead of Dunmurry Rec on wins alone.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Institute have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Institute, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Institute Clean Sheet 20%
Dunmurry Rec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Institute Dunmurry Rec
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 17 15
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2008 Irish Cup
Institute vs Dunmurry Rec
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Institute 31 / 100
Dunmurry Rec 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Institute Dunmurry Rec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Institute Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Institute scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Dunmurry Rec let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Institute went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Institute VS Dunmurry Rec
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Institute

(Home)
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Institute
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3
Newry City
22 Aug
Queens University
4 : 1
Institute
Page 1 of 6

Dunmurry Rec

(Away)
11 Jul
Ballymacash
0 : 1
Dunmurry Rec
02 Nov
Banbridge
2 : 1
Dunmurry Rec
28 Sept
Dunmurry Rec
3 : 2
Newbuildings
17 Aug
Rosemount Rec
2 : 3
Dunmurry Rec
29 Sept
Dunmurry Rec
1 : 4
Dungiven
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Larne 2
Cliftonville 3
Armagh 1
Crusaders 5
Portadown 1
Newington FC 0
Killyleagh Youth 0
Downpatrick 1
Newry City 3
Ballymena 2
Dundela 4
Portstewart 0
Loughgall 0
Linfield 3
Glenavon 1
Bangor FC 2
Ballyclare 1
Ballymoney 0
Institute 6
Dunmurry Rec 0
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Ards 1
Brantwood 2
Limavady 2
Dungannon 3
Glentoran 3
Lisburn Distillery 1
Donegal 3
Carrick Rangers 0
Banbridge 2
Abbey Villa 3
1/8-finals
Cliftonville 1
Crusaders 0
Portadown 2
Downpatrick 1
Newry City 2
Dundela 1
Linfield 3
Bangor FC 0
Ballyclare 2
Institute 4
Coleraine 5
Brantwood 1
Dungannon 0
Glentoran 2
Donegal 1
Abbey Villa 0
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 4
Portadown 3
Newry City 1
Linfield 5
Institute 1
Coleraine 5
Glentoran 1
Donegal 2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 1
Linfield 2
Coleraine 3
Donegal 2
Final
Linfield 2
Coleraine 1