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Institute vs Harland & Wolff - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Institute host Harland & Wolff in the NIFL Championship. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Harland & Wolff have shipped 1.64 goals a game lately, while Institute have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.97. Past meetings favor Harland & Wolff slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.81, favoring Institute. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Institute
15%
Draws
17%
Harland & Wolff
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Institute have won more games recently than Harland & Wolff.
  • Win probability leans Institute's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Institute Clean Sheet 11%
Harland & Wolff Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Institute Harland & Wolff
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.97 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 NIFL Championship
Harland & Wolff vs Institute
1:4
Dec 13, 2025 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Harland & Wolff
0:4
Oct 4, 2025 NIFL Championship
Harland & Wolff vs Institute
2:1
Feb 11, 2025 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Harland & Wolff
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 NIFL Championship
Harland & Wolff vs Institute
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Institute 83 / 100
Harland & Wolff 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Institute Harland & Wolff

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Institute Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Institute scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Harland & Wolff conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Institute has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Institute VS Harland & Wolff
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Institute

(Home)
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0
Newington FC
26 Sept
Annagh
5 : 0
Institute
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Institute
Page 1 of 7

Harland & Wolff

(Away)
03 Oct
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Rathfriland Rangers
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2
Harland & Wolff
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Annagh
3 : 1
Harland & Wolff
05 Sept
Moyola
1 : 4
Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 10 6 2 2 24:18 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
6 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
7 Newry City 10 4 3 3 16:18 15
8 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 18:20 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 10 2 0 8 9:22 6
16 Armagh 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)